South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ae07f68592ceafae68294b3a3f11b889088c91222eb0a46962c4c7e054d352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.98 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 48c | 4,439$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.38 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 40c | 3,107$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.82 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 50c | 2,320$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.8 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Over | 50c | 2,320$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.8 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,236$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.13 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 59c | 827.71$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.35 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 39c | 818$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.98 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 61c | 664.56$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.38 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 618.54$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.22 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 43c | 398.6$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.6 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 55c | 279.54$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.73 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 59c | 211$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 211$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 59c | 211$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Under | 59c | 208.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 63c | 178.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 60c | 162.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.45 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 59c | 158.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 37c | 88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 60c | 79.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.44 | 234 | 53%124 W · 110 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 70.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Over | 61c | 69.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 60c | 55.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 71c | 52.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 39c | 39.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 60c | 36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 51c | 30.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 54c | 20.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.