TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,060

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Over73c20,988$15,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,745.2431349.8%156 W · 157 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under37c9,608$3,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,592.432,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c8…8f5abacked Under43c5,404$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e18…ad5bbacked Under0c5,310$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over52c4,762$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,262.0414727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under49c3,400$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.518,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Under43c2,982$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.421643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over17c2,866$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.7819841.9%83 W · 115 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed06…72e7backed Over49c2,648$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,355.98837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under35c2,588$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.422352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c2,158$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,285.832,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under49c2,004$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.8321366.7%142 W · 71 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c1,515$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.235,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under47c1,243$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.1282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over38c1,137$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.33,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Over45c1,086$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.414045%18 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under52c1,020$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.57248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0be…540abacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8400…274cbacked Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x851b…961ebacked Over40c938.22$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.156131.1%19 W · 42 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+30.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over57c930.47$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.1151945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d43…8bcdbacked Under54c929.5$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.9330%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over16c824.44$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.5319135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under47c821.43$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.0719447.9%93 W · 101 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over56c719.12$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.9748547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over55c664.75$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.0825635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c660.7$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.8421752.1%113 W · 104 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over18c587.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.71,44745.9%664 W · 783 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under34c575.08$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5357540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under76c527.6$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x807f…9615backed Under48c500$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over66c457.89$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9215768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over66c454.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5320665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over43c425.72$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.922,17343.6%948 W · 1,225 L-55.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over64c415.66$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7412156.2%68 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under53c369.04$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.595356.6%30 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over66c316.65$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7624766%163 W · 84 L+27.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under67c280.93$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7413149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Under46c262.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under50c230.65$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.0869453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over50c229.71$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.8421252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Under52c220$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.42454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7b…90dfbacked Under65c200$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+31.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.484738.3%18 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under43c182.47$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1832139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Under80c164$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.27651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Over55c160.66$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.8419437.1%72 W · 122 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under37c151.16$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9331136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf423…31c4backed Under38c148$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.95054%27 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under51c136.68$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9295155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1230…dd03backed Under77c129.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under51c128.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0760156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a59…6961backed Over52c126.54$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.741741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over17c125.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.388930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under49c113.94$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.631,30350.1%653 W · 650 L-14.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under52c113.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6941662%258 W · 158 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe331…0163backed Over65c113.56$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.315464.8%35 W · 19 L+8.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+23.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Over28c113.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.893743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f6…dbfdbacked Under46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over18c108$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1731355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5fd…6f17backed Under45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-45.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.041741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7356…04cfbacked Over65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.312657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under35c91.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2889846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over57c89.05$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.221938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under45c77.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.0417852.8%94 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b1…dc74backed Over48c72.92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.92757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Over30c66.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6621638.4%83 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over61c60.9$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8845946.8%215 W · 244 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef32…7698backed Under55c58.76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Over18c57.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474949%24 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over64c56.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6735046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under45c55.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9912645.2%57 W · 69 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2335246.9%165 W · 187 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Over52c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.082133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Over62c44.2$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7314463.9%92 W · 52 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.634252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over52c38.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.593151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over33c36.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.431,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under80c35.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7940651%207 W · 199 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a62…4ab9backed Over42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.715123.5%12 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Under70c35.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd238…ad4dbacked Under41c30.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.653167.7%21 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c7…808fbacked Over68c29.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.592268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over38c28.38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.582470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2413…2442backed Under60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Under69c25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c24.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4363261.2%387 W · 245 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over57c24.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.297262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over57c21.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4172258.6%423 W · 299 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over54c21.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7151750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under58c20.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8521044.3%93 W · 117 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over57c19.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5426465.9%174 W · 90 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.