TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,400
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$29,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,400 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa704…11c1backed Over78c5,229$4,073 inWon+$1,155.991471.4%10 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under18c2,350$425 inLost-$425.413,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under21c2,336$482 inLost-$482.1134747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under18c2,002$368 inLost-$367.962,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under19c1,756$332 inLost-$331.8875240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over75c865.91$651 inWon+$214.482470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+47.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over80c826$661 inWon+$165.249136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under20c819.14$164 inLost-$163.831,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under22c678.94$146 inLost-$146.325,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under22c446.73$98 inLost-$98.284944.9%22 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over80c444$355 inWon+$88.88756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over78c375.94$293 inWon+$82.71,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under20c297.5$61 inLost-$60.572,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over79c279$220 inWon+$58.5919742.1%83 W · 114 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over79c253.16$200 inWon+$53.161346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under21c212$43 inLost-$43.468930.3%27 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4c…6047backed Over80c208.9$167 inWon+$41.781190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick72cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under11c176$19 inLost-$19.3689846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under18c167$30 inLost-$29.8457540.2%231 W · 344 L+2.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf418…ab79backed Over80c126.26$101 inWon+$25.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over79c118.44$94 inWon+$24.3151945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under26c115.38$30 inLost-$301428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over79c110.02$87 inWon+$23.11,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over75c96$72 inWon+$2421938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Over79c63.29$50 inWon+$13.2913167.9%89 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bda…d4a0backed Over78c60$47 inWon+$13.21861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over78c52$41 inWon+$11.441,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df8…4e03backed Under20c50$10 inLost-$10911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick37cpaid-80.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over80c49$39 inWon+$9.838233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked Over79c34.18$27 inWon+$7.182785.2%23 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick78cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed Over79c27.85$22 inWon+$5.853187.1%27 W · 4 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick78cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over79c18$14 inWon+$3.782,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over79c17.98$14 inWon+$3.7778756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b7…fefdbacked Over80c12.5$10 inWon+$2.51376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.