South American Leagues · resolved market
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9098b41db5e8e1dbcd58ab2c9b4c733464f1303a24f2edc1c49742fb5ca710f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Over | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.9 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 68c | 2,217$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Over | 16c | 2,055$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.35 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 1,692$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…e402backed Under | 9c | 427.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 13c | 407.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.76 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 60c | 398.91$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.61 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 45c | 324.7$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.66 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 324.29$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 59c | 279$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35cf…6fabbacked Over | 12c | 162.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +710.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Over | 50c | 81.94$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 65c | 80.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.64 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 66c | 80$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…bf6cbacked Over | 50c | 75.37$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 34c | 56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 74c | 54.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 49c | 46.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 36c | 42.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 66c | 37.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb284…b1fbbacked Over | 49c | 36.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 66c | 34.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 64c | 31.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 66c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 66c | 25.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 66c | 22.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 22.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 74c | 21.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 66c | 16.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: CF Pachuca O/U 2.5Under won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: Club Puebla O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 0.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 4.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Club Puebla won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-1.5)CF Pachuca won
- Spread: Club Puebla (-2.5)CF Pachuca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.