TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x684b…8409backed Over53c15,000$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.989644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over53c5,955$3,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,177.7628753.3%153 W · 134 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under46c4,302$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,301.572050%10 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under47c4,032$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,137.237948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Under47c3,404$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.26850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under47c2,894$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.6212057.5%69 W · 51 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Under47c2,736$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x999d…a1e1backed Under47c2,613$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.122556%14 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Over58c2,052$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.6627949.1%137 W · 142 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b6…ca29backed Under47c1,746$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.382263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over53c1,723$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.281,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07ae…69e9backed Under49c1,697$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under42c1,600$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92819847.5%94 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under38c1,499$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.273348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under48c1,243$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over37c1,151$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.4238940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Over51c1,093$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.645843.1%25 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over51c1,074$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.3741051.2%210 W · 200 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1d…a01abacked Over55c1,056$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.27944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba0…4586backed Over19c1,046$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4710528.6%30 W · 75 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c1,018$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.451,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over53c999.93$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.968646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over57c957$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.4956455.1%311 W · 253 L+27.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under48c928$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.5631443%135 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c872.33$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.5190449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ba…3ca5backed Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.241866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee46…faa0backed Under49c519.51$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under47c490.55$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.4813956.8%79 W · 60 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under80c456$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6832148.6%156 W · 165 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Over51c414.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.653644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82b0…7c38backed Over41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Under55c351.93$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.875561.8%34 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Under43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.52532%8 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c344$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.4433839.9%135 W · 203 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over56c339.24$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.4676142.7%325 W · 436 L-19.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under48c300.91$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.553759.5%22 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23b5…97e1backed Over11c260$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.862536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under47c238.15$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.3225447.2%120 W · 134 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c216$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.541,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Under44c176.99$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.771637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over41c165.96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9640%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa466…1c77backed Under72c162.21$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c157.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1439150.4%197 W · 194 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7885948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.534826.4%92 W · 256 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Under43c138.39$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4318157.5%104 W · 77 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under46c135.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9540247.3%190 W · 212 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1031…2febbacked Over41c132.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed Over41c132.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.44616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick48cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Under45c129$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.951741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under47c128$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.849041.1%37 W · 53 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over14c127.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.792133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Over41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over27c120$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.641838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over51c111.75$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9979648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Under48c107.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8616151.6%83 W · 78 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Over41c107.32$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4413238.6%51 W · 81 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over49c102.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.741446.6%193 W · 221 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521850%9 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536454.7%35 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over56c99.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.084647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over62c95.7$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.332972.4%21 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over58c94.7$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9313661.8%84 W · 52 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7227649.6%137 W · 139 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under72c80$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.43557.1%20 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under46c80$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.262746.9%294 W · 333 L-19.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under50c74.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.077441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under44c70.13$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.587850%39 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under47c69.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8332749.5%162 W · 165 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1fd…10ccbacked Over49c68.96$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.793259.4%19 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Over41c68.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.072326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x840b…345fbacked Under44c68.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.18475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+65.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over40c65.3$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1210743.9%47 W · 60 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x914a…9642backed Under47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.831266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70a2…5599backed Under46c62.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.813100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over40c61.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4610343.7%45 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Over51c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under47c58.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7819650.5%99 W · 97 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Under52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over56c54.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3829548.5%143 W · 152 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under46c51.55$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7125247.6%120 W · 132 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over62c47.84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.662871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Over62c47.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.662676.9%20 W · 6 L+6.0wins+0.23per pick54cpaid+36%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7ded…c0b1backed Under46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.482152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d18…2365backed Under47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.268643%37 W · 49 L-10.7wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x066a…96a0backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over56c39.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2213452.2%70 W · 64 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad90…1012backed Over54c37.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under65c37$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.899563.2%60 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under68c36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5521546.5%100 W · 115 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Over48c35.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.171330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under73c34.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.258169.1%56 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Over52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.681030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ccf…99ecbacked Over59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under61c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.019051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over52c31.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1332849.4%162 W · 166 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.