WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08c7c30327d1639172960d7c971f04b15810c463e7a702801c198d953d309252

Rebuilt 23 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Connecticut Sunof Chicago Sky, Connecticut Sun
Resolved: Aug 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $92,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $92,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,965 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in WNBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6820…1c19backed Chicago Sky	57c	54,000$30,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,602.42	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Connecticut Sun	43c	16,759$7,206 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,552.68	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun	44c	10,424$4,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,807.86	871	48.2%420 W · 451 L	+4.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun	46c	8,801$4,054 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,746.43	1,025	47.8%490 W · 535 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Chicago Sky	54c	8,150$4,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,397.71	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Connecticut Sun	49c	7,329$3,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,737.77	73	38.4%28 W · 45 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-19%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Connecticut Sun	43c	6,903$2,972 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,930.89	399	50.4%201 W · 198 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Connecticut Sun	43c	5,000$2,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,850	59	57.6%34 W · 25 L	+6.3wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Connecticut Sun	47c	4,800$2,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,560	201	47.3%95 W · 106 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Connecticut Sun	43c	3,527$1,518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,009.37	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Connecticut Sun	46c	3,176$1,451 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,724.79	150	49.3%74 W · 76 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Sky	51c	2,972$1,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,515.72	369	54.2%200 W · 169 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun	44c	2,309$1,006 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.55	1,803	51.8%934 W · 869 L	+56.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Chicago Sky	51c	2,257$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,155.17	305	48.9%149 W · 156 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Connecticut Sun	44c	1,900$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,064.21	475	46.7%222 W · 253 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Chicago Sky	51c	1,686$861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.29	301	54.8%165 W · 136 L	+11.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun	47c	1,548$729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$819.17	670	51.5%345 W · 325 L	+2.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun	57c	1,052$604 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$447.44	1,635	50.2%820 W · 815 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Connecticut Sun	60c	1,000$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	574	55.2%317 W · 257 L	+27.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Connecticut Sun	45c	921.64$415 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$506.9	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Connecticut Sun	46c	853$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460.62	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Connecticut Sun	43c	754.37$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.99	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+4.4wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Chicago Sky	48c	699.98$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.99	151	42.4%64 W · 87 L	-9.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Connecticut Sun	48c	600$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Sky	29c	560.27$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.23	404	40.6%164 W · 240 L	-15.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Connecticut Sun	46c	489$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.5	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Connecticut Sun	43c	465.11$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.11	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Connecticut Sun	71c	263.31$187 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.68	145	55.2%80 W · 65 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun	45c	256$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.8	944	48.3%456 W · 488 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f2…1f23backed Chicago Sky	51c	196.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Connecticut Sun	54c	185.98$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.95	376	53.7%202 W · 174 L	+15.7wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Connecticut Sun	45c	166.6$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.63	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.55per pick	45cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago Sky	48c	159.41$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.31	335	49.3%165 W · 170 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-13%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun	48c	154.87$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.53	414	51%211 W · 203 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Chicago Sky	11c	151.8$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	74	43.2%32 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Connecticut Sun	45c	131.88$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.88	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Connecticut Sun	44c	128$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.68	98	41.8%41 W · 57 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b6d…5b1dbacked Connecticut Sun	43c	127.91$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.91	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Connecticut Sun	50c	127$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.62	316	49.4%156 W · 160 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Chicago Sky	41c	126.18$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.96	326	48.5%158 W · 168 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7523…68a0backed Chicago Sky	12c	125.84$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Chicago Sky	49c	124.63$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.07	38	50%19 W · 19 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Chicago Sky	54c	111.11$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Chicago Sky	55c	110$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.32	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Chicago Sky	51c	105.2$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.65	145	51%74 W · 71 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Connecticut Sun	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.5	335	47.5%159 W · 176 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Chicago Sky	55c	100$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Connecticut Sun	61c	100$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.5	39	69.2%27 W · 12 L	+6.2wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Connecticut Sun	48c	100$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Chicago Sky	52c	99.18$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.97	279	50.2%140 W · 139 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun	44c	93.25$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.22	774	42.5%329 W · 445 L	-21.1wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd20c…5031backed Connecticut Sun	44c	85$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.6	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+3.8wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Connecticut Sun	69c	69.23$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.32	140	52.1%73 W · 67 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e4…d492backed Chicago Sky	55c	65.45$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Connecticut Sun	50c	60$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Connecticut Sun	58c	57.76$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.26	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+2.0wins	+0.14per pick	57cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Connecticut Sun	48c	54.15$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.34	80	48.8%39 W · 41 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Sky	51c	52.14$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	395	45.8%181 W · 214 L	-15.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Chicago Sky	55c	50.59$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.71	189	45%85 W · 104 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Chicago Sky	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	113	54%61 W · 52 L	+5.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Connecticut Sun	62c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.07	36	66.7%24 W · 12 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Connecticut Sun	61c	50$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.5	33	69.7%23 W · 10 L	+5.2wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Connecticut Sun	43c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+4.0wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun	47c	42.54$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.36	397	50.1%199 W · 198 L	+9.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…cba4backed Connecticut Sun	48c	39.27$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.42	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0d9…a661backed Chicago Sky	51c	38.02$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Connecticut Sun	47c	37.47$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.86	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb3…4a24backed Chicago Sky	50c	36$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+26%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Connecticut Sun	43c	33.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.17	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa250…b806backed Chicago Sky	50c	33.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.58	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Connecticut Sun	43c	32.85$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.66	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ccf…99ecbacked Connecticut Sun	64c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.25	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Chicago Sky	51c	29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Connecticut Sun	49c	28.96$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.78	126	43.7%55 W · 71 L	-7.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Chicago Sky	52c	28.84$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Connecticut Sun	61c	28$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.92	146	61.6%90 W · 56 L	+15.1wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4df4…bbc4backed Chicago Sky	52c	27.25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x290a…0994backed Connecticut Sun	46c	25.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.69	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+88.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Connecticut Sun	46c	24$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.96	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)this page
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Over won
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
Spread: Chicago Sky (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event