WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xefdf5cdb609048e898b515b58c69a26942388ac8eaf55851323a2b6c2be21b6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Over | 51c | 7,201$3,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,672.6 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 5,006$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.93 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 1,642$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.7 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 1,414$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.6 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 1,028$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.77 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 688.41$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.9 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 47c | 569.8$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.01 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Under | 46c | 409.08$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.08 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 52c | 337.62$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.93 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 53c | 334.47$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 20c | 271.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…be99backed Under | 47c | 224.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 219.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Under | 50c | 219.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7f…33b5backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Under | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 179$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 51c | 154.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 49c | 140.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 52c | 134.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…f92dbacked Under | 50c | 134.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 50c | 104$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 50c | 92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 79.73$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 50c | 74.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x978e…8077backed Over | 54c | 72.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab7a…044dbacked Over | 31c | 53.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336e…2ae5backed Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.