WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x104c5f9bd432ac4933977053a20ee1bea9aedb380a0774d1448f8d7ae9e9e7ff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 47c | 5,076$2,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,691.96 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 3,051$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.09 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 53c | 1,770$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.99 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 56c | 378.27$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.4 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 56c | 355.33$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 348.44$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.17 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 44c | 335$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 325.52$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 56c | 309.2$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.46 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 44c | 256$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…b44abacked Under | 47c | 213.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac6…14fdbacked Under | 47c | 128.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 125.91$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 120.74$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 45c | 106.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.42 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 104.36$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 43c | 102.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 53c | 59.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 59.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 44c | 49.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 44c | 40.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 44c | 30.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 54c | 26.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 74c | 21.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.