WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x755bedb305141cc65436c4a018c246b11de9b291f3f88b258e5df316e7d52ba6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Sunof Chicago Sky, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0de…8048backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 7,111$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 41c | 5,235$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,102.86 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 4,018$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834.4 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 2,657$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.96 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Chicago Sky | 41c | 1,972$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.96 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Connecticut Sun | 55c | 1,353$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.44 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Connecticut Sun | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 986.62$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.25 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 974.31$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 42c | 682.48$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.12 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 525.33$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.23 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Connecticut Sun | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Chicago Sky | 38c | 464.6$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…eca3backed Chicago Sky | 61c | 375.55$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Connecticut Sun | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 263.19$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Connecticut Sun | 54c | 262.7$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun | 41c | 256$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.04 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Connecticut Sun | 80c | 249.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Connecticut Sun | 41c | 195$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd20c…5031backed Connecticut Sun | 41c | 136.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.67 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Connecticut Sun | 42c | 135$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Connecticut Sun | 57c | 132.82$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Connecticut Sun | 57c | 131.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun | 41c | 114$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 112.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 102.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Connecticut Sun | 56c | 101.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Connecticut Sun | 39c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 93.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.97 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Connecticut Sun | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x840b…345fbacked Connecticut Sun | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a80…542fbacked Chicago Sky | 58c | 69.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Connecticut Sun | 44c | 58.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun | 42c | 53.17$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Connecticut Sun | 42c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae2…2383backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 40.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 67.5%158 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Connecticut Sun | 44c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a13…0512backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 32.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…594dbacked Connecticut Sun | 50c | 27.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…cec8backed Connecticut Sun | 56c | 25.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 25.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Connecticut Sun | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.