TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe010…594d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$15.19
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$6.87
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.23
Minnesota Twins vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.64
Boston Red Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.26
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$27.97
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$27.77
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)backed Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.59
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$18.43
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$4.95
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+74.1%+$12.19
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+147.4%+$27.27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.72
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+105.7%+$22.45
All 19 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$14.28
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$15.29
Washington Mystics vs. Portland Firebacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$8.9
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$26.48
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+99%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.1
Trabzonspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$16.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Quinn Vandecasteelebacked Pierre-Hugues Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.