Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f2300206a4218a1854f5a279782eb08cf38f8bc78930052719031416cecc0ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 51c | 10,467$5,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,153.14 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 38c | 4,865$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.25 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 50c | 4,351$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175.5 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 46c | 2,974$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.4 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,020$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.82 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 1,927$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.68 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 53c | 1,536$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.96 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 54c | 1,394$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 79c | 1,333$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.92 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 54c | 1,233$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.91 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…8cbebacked Over | 42c | 1,117$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 10c | 957.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.74 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 5c | 919.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 817.53$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.74 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 50c | 758$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 538.67$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 52c | 525.83$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +165.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 10c | 460.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 452.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.38 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 48c | 450$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 14c | 435$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 54c | 356.42$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 53c | 346.77$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.98 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced4…5055backed Over | 9c | 330$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 297.68$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 50c | 252$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 50c | 252$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 47c | 240.69$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 222$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 50c | 221.6$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.8 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 62.5%85 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 13c | 155$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 41c | 151.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 65c | 146.26$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.19 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 133.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 40c | 100.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 40c | 92.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 48c | 78.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Under | 54c | 68.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Under | 52c | 63.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…e3c6backed Over | 48c | 61.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 49c | 50.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…15b9backed Over | 21c | 50.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 47c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 49c | 34.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 39c | 31.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Over | 49c | 31.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3552…0d65backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 47c | 28.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 57c | 26.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe010…594dbacked Under | 54c | 24.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 63c | 23.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe682…dbcdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 65c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 0.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 2.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.