Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcec196ab0b06af0e61379c6b6c4a1174c646fa88718aa0ab1872b7af0cb169f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 19c | 1,422$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.16 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 5c | 1,047$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 27c | 1,007$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.92 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 10c | 907.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 28c | 752$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.56 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 510.68$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.99 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 464.34$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Under | 71c | 380.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +11.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 71c | 264$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 240.5$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 77c | 211.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…6f2abacked Over | 16c | 140$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 18c | 118$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 27c | 105.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…e303backed Over | 18c | 94.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 71c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 29c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 76c | 20.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 0.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 2.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.