Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x898c2a119269606b9c54e3a89794d54cc037467fda423fc31ebd4b2c1198d287
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alanyasporof Beşiktaş JK, Alanyaspor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a39…b0b9backed Beşiktaş JK | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.89 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alanyaspor | 70c | 9,557$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,836.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alanyaspor | 71c | 8,756$6,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.36 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 5,138$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.69 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Beşiktaş JK | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Beşiktaş JK | 18c | 1,314$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.56 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Beşiktaş JK | 29c | 1,240$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.33 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Beşiktaş JK | 31c | 1,136$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.27 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alanyaspor | 72c | 973.25$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Beşiktaş JK | 23c | 490.77$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.88 | 86 | 19.8%17 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Beşiktaş JK | 24c | 424.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 413.2$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.09 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +14.0wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Alanyaspor | 69c | 346$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.26 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 177.71$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.09 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Alanyaspor | 70c | 170$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 139.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Alanyaspor | 70c | 113.78$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Alanyaspor | 69c | 112.3$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.81 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…f691backed Beşiktaş JK | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Alanyaspor | 78c | 107.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Beşiktaş JK | 31c | 98.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 98.32$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Beşiktaş JK | 31c | 93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Alanyaspor | 71c | 52.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Beşiktaş JK | 23c | 48.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Alanyaspor | 70c | 48.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 44.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Beşiktaş JK | 29c | 43.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Beşiktaş JK | 30c | 39.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Alanyaspor | 69c | 34.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 34.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Alanyaspor | 69c | 33.04$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 32.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Alanyaspor | 69c | 31.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…b506backed Alanyaspor | 69c | 29.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Alanyaspor | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Alanyaspor | 70c | 22.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 0.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 2.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.