Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e2f1c1596315b07c2fdb7b701846e8daba859346199db821782894e4089ce49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 6,968$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.23 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed Under | 57c | 4,800$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 4,637$3,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 34c | 2,743$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,813.07 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 51c | 2,416$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185.54 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 69c | 2,129$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,461.55 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 31c | 2,003$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.6 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 1,450$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.54 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f6…3149backed Over | 74c | 1,086$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 73cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 796.69$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.85 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 11c | 796.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.74 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 24c | 520$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…e800backed Under | 28c | 497.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.19 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Over | 37c | 451.35$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 51c | 383.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 72c | 345.54$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.79 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 38c | 339.73$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 24c | 313.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.47 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 24c | 280.24$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.98 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 26c | 261$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.14 | 211 | 51.7%109 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 76c | 190.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.91 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 74c | 160.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.69 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 34c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…2715backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 149.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.8 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Over | 34c | 139.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 41c | 122.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 113.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.57 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 32c | 103.36$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 68c | 98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 64c | 76.07$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 59c | 67.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 35c | 64.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 64c | 63.42$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 31c | 63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 74c | 61.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…6f2abacked Over | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 56c | 53.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 65c | 52.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd220…e303backed Over | 65c | 50.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaf…5e45backed Over | 64c | 46.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 43c | 37.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 70c | 34.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 40c | 34.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Over | 74c | 34.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 66c | 29.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 74c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 64c | 26.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Under | 55c | 22.91$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 72c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 0.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 2.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.