Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67ce5602ebc9eccc12b064cdd5895a15a81bfda2e26364786499689df7a2c021
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 17c | 1,287$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.05 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 7c | 1,264$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.49 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Under | 14c | 1,235$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 16c | 1,058$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 1,030$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.08 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 72c | 1,003$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.24 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 55c | 958.95$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.82 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 77c | 926.55$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 7c | 924.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 10c | 463.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.34 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 285.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2276…a73abacked Under | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 12c | 165$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Under | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 70c | 54.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x321e…4a0abacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…df19backed Over | 53c | 32.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 41c | 31.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 73c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e91cbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 0.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 0.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 1.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: Alanyaspor O/U 2.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 1.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Beşiktaş JK won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
- Spread: Beşiktaş JK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.