WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ba191c5ed67c0e07145515c3132d1f248cffd799f2f4a2af04cb55802e59e5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Over | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,999.97 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 45c | 11,361$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.3 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Under | 45c | 4,974$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.3 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 53c | 3,198$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.76 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 7c | 1,831$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 1,758$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.37 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…487dbacked Under | 60c | 1,454$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Over | 61c | 1,228$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.42 | 279 | 49.1%137 W · 142 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 20c | 1,158$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.05 | 389 | 40.9%159 W · 230 L | -14.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Under | 45c | 918.57$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed Over | 31c | 830.01$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.6 | 105 | 28.6%30 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 41c | 703.31$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.36 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…f7e5backed Under | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 55c | 695.53$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.3 | 394 | 50.5%199 W · 195 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 57c | 514.12$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.12 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | +20.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 508.32$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.91 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Under | 44c | 339.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.57 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 308.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.45 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 64c | 257.33$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.33 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 5c | 237.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Under | 38c | 212.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.13 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 12c | 185.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 8c | 168.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 136 | 61.8%84 W · 52 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3c…1c56backed Over | 29c | 161.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Over | 56c | 157.59$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 41c | 151.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…f92dbacked Over | 56c | 140.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Under | 39c | 128$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 12c | 101.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 12c | 101.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x212d…5023backed Under | 41c | 98.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 59c | 98.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 40c | 80.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 80.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…0f3ebacked Under | 47c | 76.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…dad3backed Under | 42c | 69.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…9642backed Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 52c | 66.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 47c | 51.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 49.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Under | 43c | 38.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 33.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb5…3444backed Under | 45c | 30.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | -19.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 57c | 19.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 167.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut SunConnecticut Sun won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 168.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-4.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-5.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-6.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Chicago Sky (-7.5)Connecticut Sun won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.