TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$273,765
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,765 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38fe…a923backed No27c54,191$14,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,455.15825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-57.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes73c49,058$35,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,163.9217753.1%94 W · 83 L+17.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No23c32,980$7,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,683.121330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-28.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes74c22,340$16,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,712.741,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No18c20,000$3,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.012835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes76c19,312$14,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,548.45,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No3c16,109$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.278046.3%37 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c13,080$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8414.9%2 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+100.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No28c6,564$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.0796846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No20c3,281$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.051,30956.8%743 W · 566 L+66.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No21c2,782$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.128930.3%27 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No18c1,880$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.2979435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Yes79c1,535$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes79c1,300$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2738457.1%48 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478a…2deabacked Yes78c1,279$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.381258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes80c1,173$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No6c1,072$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8713533.3%45 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No28c1,000$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.351,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed No20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004226.2%11 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No22c897.33$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.197628.9%22 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes74c810$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.9514447.9%69 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Yes71c764.79$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.792572%18 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes79c727.95$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9962349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3060…c709backed Yes69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed No4c630.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.284040%16 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes70c592$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.61,02841.7%429 W · 599 L-31.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8530…9f89backed Yes76c559.54$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes77c540.7$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.8711347.8%54 W · 59 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No20c532.88$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.2962652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes76c519.74$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.7433452.7%176 W · 158 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Yes68c514.71$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.715556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes75c512.67$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.211241.1%46 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No15c430.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.33228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x991e…3190backed No24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes71c384.54$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.284347.7%402 W · 441 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…43a2backed No4c381.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb90…8dd8backed No4c330$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13170%0 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No15c328$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.768354.2%45 W · 38 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No6c319$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6423845.8%109 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes78c300$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.51361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…37dabacked Yes79c298$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.582166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b4…169bbacked Yes74c270.52$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ced…6c81backed Yes74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.271369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00a1…df06backed Yes70c261.46$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.443100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518952.9%100 W · 89 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50ff…b0e6backed Yes80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No20c236.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7311853.4%63 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes79c223.55$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9123633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No10c213.68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0692835%325 W · 603 L-22.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes73c205.48$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.481560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed No32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647060%42 W · 28 L+11.5wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+38.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed No20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405932.2%19 W · 40 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54fe…5850backed Yes68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x176e…8f96backed Yes77c199.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.54055%22 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed No20c199.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.462313%3 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Yes73c192.55$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.296145.9%28 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fab…b213backed No9c181.7$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-40%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb1…fa48backed No20c170$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0401…2f0ebacked Yes78c165.51$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No20c159.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5827540.7%112 W · 163 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No17c152.48$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268427.4%23 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029917.4%52 W · 247 L-13.0wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf617…7ff1backed Yes79c148$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.542360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed No14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208339.8%33 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes72c137$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.367558.7%44 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No22c135.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.672,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed No21c127$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.672142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa21f…adddbacked No16c126.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Yes80c125.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes79c107.12$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5510436.5%38 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes68c105.5$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e52…2320backed Yes69c105$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.553250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed2…8958backed Yes74c101.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd612…0bc1backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-44.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes68c88.24$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.245149%25 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed Yes72c83.04$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.043467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc716…f0d7backed No21c80$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Yes70c78.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.572941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No18c78.18$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.076940.6%28 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20eb…9a09backed Yes78c76.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d3…a973backed Yes68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.53757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No20c73.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No27c71.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.089147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.42650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed No31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe384…7fafbacked No28c63.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d4…a896backed Yes69c60.87$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.871485.7%12 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+39.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x074e…317fbacked No19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7104…8cffbacked Yes76c59.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes80c51.62$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66d…97acbacked Yes71c50.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.691861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No21c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+77.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016746.1%77 W · 90 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023755.3%131 W · 106 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes78c47.44$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.441450%7 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x63bc…abc5backed Yes70c45.93$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.78250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes73c41.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4161…c578backed Yes78c41.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cfd…9f5abacked Yes79c39$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.