Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc67104c7fab08da7ecd62ad9f5dea18a9e6ac89fb758f55bfce91bf4e1e23012
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 34c | 593.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Yes | 66c | 294.11$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 34c | 267.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.25 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ced…6c81backed Yes | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 67c | 148.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 33c | 146.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 34c | 105$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa237…d59abacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 34c | 97.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 119 | 31.9%38 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 93.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Yes | 67c | 74.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked No | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Yes | 67c | 51.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 47.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…592bbacked Yes | 67c | 45.87$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 33.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd1…0100backed Yes | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes | 65c | 30.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…cac1backed Yes | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked Yes | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…fb48backed Yes | 66c | 22.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…c6ecbacked Yes | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4b…fa4cbacked Yes | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.