Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8084d3a1bef378199380e64deef2783360ffe6c249681afa5065705b124bd13d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 1,921$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.88 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 32c | 1,151$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.63 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 66c | 1,101$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.35 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 1,046$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.24 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 61c | 817.76$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.44 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 675.07$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 63c | 630.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.81 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 34c | 615.62$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 35c | 601.02$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.77 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Under | 13c | 490.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 34c | 444$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 65c | 305.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 67c | 303.03$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Over | 68c | 219.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 60c | 191.16$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 59c | 183.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 73c | 152.29$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 73c | 140.49$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Under | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Over | 67c | 103.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 64c | 91.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Under | 33c | 91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Over | 67c | 68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 62c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 33c | 62.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac2…78b1backed Over | 75c | 61.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 28c | 60.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Over | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 65c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 33c | 41.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a2…1467backed Over | 74c | 39.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf447…3fe7backed Over | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4680…e592backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…fb28backed Over | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b2…cec2backed Over | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9874…15d7backed Over | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 22.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 62c | 21.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Over | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e48…c958backed Over | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed Over | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…1ed1backed Over | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…a19dbacked Over | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Over | 68c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 61c | 16.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.