Asian League · resolved market
Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a7d08fca27dceed8560b92255da8a7d70e9f6282e2ce6fb73f8cb8369fa47dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 52c | 3,367$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615.14 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,788$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.12 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd260…b480backed Over | 52c | 1,787$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 1,594$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.71 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 70c | 627.02$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.5 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 80c | 601.76$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 30c | 541.74$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 138 | 46.4%64 W · 74 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 58c | 480.06$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Under | 58c | 399.53$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.33 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 397.12$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 385.53$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.52 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa42…2ff3backed Under | 50c | 295$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 58c | 223.07$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Under | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 56c | 197.81$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.15 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 55c | 187.84$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 43c | 177.64$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 37c | 162.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.7 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 52c | 152.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.13 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdac2…78b1backed Over | 60c | 127.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…7fafbacked Under | 43c | 119.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 52c | 113.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Over | 45c | 108$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 25c | 87.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 43c | 80.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 71.02$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 52c | 69.52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 43c | 53.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Under | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 50c | 42.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…84fbbacked Under | 56c | 42.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ce…e873backed Over | 45c | 37.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…d902backed Over | 46c | 35.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 33.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079e…fef9backed Over | 56c | 32.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…acddbacked Under | 56c | 31.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 49c | 30.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 49c | 30.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Under | 55c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Under | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 51c | 27.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 43c | 26.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Under | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 45c | 23.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed Under | 55c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Over | 60c | 20.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Under | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 55c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.