South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a193f65e2d3cb8ef080edf92a298cdbfb0488042a2403270aa1d049283dc8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 43c | 12,540$5,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,392.13 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 58c | 10,309$5,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.89 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Yes | 49c | 10,272$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 56c | 9,095$5,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,987.74 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 42c | 5,304$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.7 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 3,448$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.53 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 59c | 2,114$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.56 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed No | 9c | 2,064$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.48 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Yes | 57c | 1,196$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.45 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 57c | 829.19$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 43c | 800.32$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 50c | 717.45$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 648.31$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.33 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…fe43backed Yes | 49c | 458.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.08 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8160…f179backed Yes | 57c | 447.86$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 393.78$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.64 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 365.38$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.07 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 55c | 352.06$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.43 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…89b6backed Yes | 56c | 345.86$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.12 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 57c | 331$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.33 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked No | 4c | 325$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a1…df06backed Yes | 57c | 307.63$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 42c | 290.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8090…42c1backed Yes | 57c | 198.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 59c | 194.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Yes | 58c | 165.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.69 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 57c | 160.26$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Yes | 54c | 156.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 54c | 152.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 49c | 116.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…bee1backed Yes | 57c | 111.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…cc4bbacked No | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb844…8cf6backed Yes | 60c | 101.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Yes | 59c | 100.81$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 51c | 97.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c9…b92fbacked Yes | 58c | 92.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed No | 48c | 92.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 72c | 84.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 56c | 70.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 48c | 62.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 41c | 59.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fad…a796backed No | 54c | 59.31$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed No | 46c | 58.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 57c | 49.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 57c | 48.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1427…859fbacked Yes | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked No | 45c | 38.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Yes | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 59c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…0ebabacked Yes | 53c | 34.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 41c | 33.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 41c | 31.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 61c | 29.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 43c | 28.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3528…1ef9backed No | 53c | 27.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 59c | 26.83$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…1d8ebacked Yes | 53c | 25.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 22.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Yes | 54c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 49c | 21.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yes | 59c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77e6…0ae1backed Yes | 56c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 65c | 18.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…43cfbacked Yes | 55c | 18.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?No won
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.