South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf656199a1542413a6511a8a31fe6b623fa8113bc2b608f3e935c9d1fdddc471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…8a78backed Yes | 0c | 48,632$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 3,364$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.93 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 9c | 2,857$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.12 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x973f…dc4ebacked No | 68c | 2,217$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.41 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 9c | 735.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed No | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed No | 69c | 541.9$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 512.18$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 25c | 500.25$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…b28bbacked Yes | 4c | 487.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 12c | 420.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed No | 67c | 293.3$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 33c | 288.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 12c | 197.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 173.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x166e…3303backed Yes | 14c | 168.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 150.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45f6…21ccbacked No | 70c | 121.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 109.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b8…296ebacked Yes | 33c | 74.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 72.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed No | 66c | 68.96$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 32c | 63.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b335backed Yes | 34c | 59.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…e7c2backed No | 66c | 44.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…6bd3backed No | 68c | 39.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9f…8e23backed Yes | 33c | 37.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 68c | 34.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…07f9backed No | 68c | 30.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 30.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae74…e429backed No | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 66c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 77c | 19.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 17.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…a290backed No | 68c | 15.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…7158backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?No won
- Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.