TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5351…9b3cbacked No22c8,407$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.841844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No21c6,515$1,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.062536%9 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f42…a8febacked Yes79c5,100$4,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes78c5,000$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1002152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes79c3,181$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+68%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No16c2,669$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.32,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes77c1,964$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.8751842.1%218 W · 300 L-18.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes75c1,900$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.772,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes78c1,774$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.3751140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No1c1,586$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.865932.2%19 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked No22c1,540$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.83447.1%16 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+56.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No19c1,410$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9492043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No24c1,292$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.081,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No13c1,205$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9634139.9%136 W · 205 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No24c1,184$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.159255.4%51 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb262…9b98backed Yes79c1,041$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.652958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No24c1,040$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2623649.2%116 W · 120 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked No15c800$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12117529.1%51 W · 124 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No26c747.29$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.81,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No23c736.04$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.294656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No26c594.3$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.421,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No22c507.76$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.719639.6%38 W · 58 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No20c484.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.951,14353.2%608 W · 535 L+44.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Yes80c450$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed No23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48c2…63febacked Yes77c260.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.661100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes78c255.42$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.321,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Yes79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-36.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No21c253$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.1310121.8%22 W · 79 L-6.8wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No23c252.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.081,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No25c240$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9519948.7%97 W · 102 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed Yes77c200.68$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.161957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4217149.7%85 W · 86 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No23c189.64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6220632%66 W · 140 L-17.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Yes74c175.68$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.684057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3331860.4%192 W · 126 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7206…0dcbbacked No28c132.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1850%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No25c129.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4477350.2%388 W · 385 L+2.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.21560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed No22c124.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed No20c122.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.53351.5%17 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf39…0e83backed Yes78c122.21$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.892065%13 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No26c119.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.228446.1%131 W · 153 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes80c103.75$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.75933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206051.7%31 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Yes78c91.35$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.18570.6%60 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No14c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8567348.1%324 W · 349 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x759e…8afdbacked Yes73c82.19$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No22c81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.069941.4%41 W · 58 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x574d…1227backed Yes73c80.49$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.73966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7146…cc73backed Yes80c75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No23c71.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1419146.6%89 W · 102 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes75c64.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.063450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf945…6c15backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.19100%9 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb48e…95b3backed Yes78c61.54$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes78c60$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.23759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…5828backed No28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf463…476ebacked Yes75c53.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a7…6ab2backed Yes73c52.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes79c49.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4854650.4%275 W · 271 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No21c48.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2427352.7%144 W · 129 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5965…33b5backed Yes80c42.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes73c42$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.342,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Yes79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.976055%33 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a7d…582abacked Yes80c37.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe28f…2af6backed Yes78c36.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ec…fd3fbacked Yes80c35.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.14887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Yes80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.253271.9%23 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4633…48f1backed Yes76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eef…367fbacked Yes80c29.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.85977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Yes80c27.5$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.53250%16 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf17a…e44dbacked Yes76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.32771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38dd…bb12backed Yes77c25.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x508b…9c09backed Yes78c25.49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.61540%2 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick73cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3446…b449backed Yes77c24.68$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.685100%5 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Yes78c22$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.841855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeec…707bbacked Yes74c19.32$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked Yes78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.233060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Yes76c19.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.5912261.5%75 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x656d…b2c2backed Yes78c18.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes76c16.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.056969.6%48 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9b8…599bbacked Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-35.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8487…7f21backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.