Asian League · resolved market
Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1aeb549628161ed5aff38204c3c79f100e43bd1d0950ba655596b5320e7209c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 65c | 17,241$11,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,277.75 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 9,322$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,314.83 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 35c | 8,298$2,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.33 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 3,562$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.47 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 2,392$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.88 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 449.67$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.79 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 36c | 413.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.47 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 406.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 67c | 398.72$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 36c | 306.64$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.86 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 34c | 284$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +360.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…b45fbacked Yes | 52c | 230.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 64c | 224.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 45c | 199.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 56c | 184.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.47 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 46c | 180.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.74 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 46c | 141.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 139$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 45c | 117.81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 66c | 116$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 27c | 88.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795a…2befbacked Yes | 35c | 78.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 54c | 78.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 35c | 74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 48c | 73.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 48c | 62.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 32c | 62.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 58c | 59.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 34c | 57.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 170 | 58.2%99 W · 71 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…feb0backed Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…9f34backed Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +144.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed No | 66c | 47.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Yes | 31c | 44.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 36c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 70c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…ddcebacked Yes | 35c | 32.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 59c | 30.97$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…c50abacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…9f00backed Yes | 51c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 36c | 28.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 70c | 27.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Yes | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 68c | 21.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEOM SC win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.