Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde0d7354f057f32fd297fe93e62eb1273d9cdb8bc80abb35a03c286ff281aaec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 27c | 1,412$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.4 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 63c | 835.86$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.74 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 21c | 761.92$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.37 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes | 62c | 720.3$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.18 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…80cdbacked No | 44c | 657.31$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.14 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…3f67backed Yes | 77c | 511.59$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.15 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 16c | 429.68$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked Yes | 59c | 387.79$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 59c | 375.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…c6cabacked No | 58c | 352.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.77 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 338$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.29 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed No | 66c | 336.59$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.42 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 46c | 331.66$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 71c | 326.16$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.35 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed Yes | 61c | 308.67$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.35 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 46c | 307.85$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.05 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed Yes | 40c | 277.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 17c | 254.84$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 79c | 254.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 24c | 224.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 224.52$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.52 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 40c | 223.44$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 67c | 199.18$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 54c | 190.16$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 30c | 168.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.35 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 33c | 164.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 38c | 157.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4d…3375backed Yes | 68c | 153.35$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 28c | 151.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 32c | 150.24$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 146.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 12c | 143.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 60c | 143.66$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 54c | 141.4$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.41 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 71c | 139.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa595…cdf1backed No | 69c | 137.27$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Yes | 63c | 137.14$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 388 | 60.1%233 W · 155 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…14a9backed Yes | 46c | 134.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…3ce8backed No | 56c | 131.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.73 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 124.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 26c | 124.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked No | 17c | 119.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 107.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.57 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 25c | 103.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 59c | 102.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.91 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…6392backed Yes | 40c | 100.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 32c | 96.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…695abacked Yes | 57c | 96.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 46c | 96.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 52c | 94.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0c…10e6backed No | 60c | 93.22$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 40c | 91.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 14c | 88.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 39c | 85.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked Yes | 41c | 82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec34…b109backed No | 43c | 80.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 41c | 80.29$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 39c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.47 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 60c | 75.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 59c | 75.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 45c | 70.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 60c | 67.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed No | 60c | 65.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…0bcebacked Yes | 40c | 65.54$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.17 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 31c | 64.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…decbbacked Yes | 31c | 64.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…e06fbacked No | 56c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…fababacked Yes | 40c | 60.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b8…6983backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 874 | 37.3%326 W · 548 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 60c | 59$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked No | 23c | 55.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 40c | 54.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 64c | 54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…d77cbacked Yes | 40c | 51.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | -25.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…053dbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed No | 39c | 48.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 80c | 47.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 44c | 46.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked Yes | 52c | 46.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 51c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeae…1218backed Yes | 56c | 44.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed No | 56c | 44.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…2efebacked Yes | 69c | 41.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfeda…b697backed Yes | 80c | 41.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 88 | 72.7%64 W · 24 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 42c | 41.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 26c | 40.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c16…d262backed No | 61c | 40.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc799…3bddbacked Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfe…4306backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4df…e6cfbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 138 | 62.3%86 W · 52 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…0662backed Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…7107backed Yes | 67c | 37.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc209…7082backed Yes | 40c | 37.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 30c | 36.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.