Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87ea685d9aba748c2531425e59399094bc93d2433aec422559ed314f4ec2af38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cb7…d9b8backed Yes | 24c | 800$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.02 | 72 | 23.6%17 W · 55 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef5…e92fbacked Yes | 32c | 773.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 56c | 689.39$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.64 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 30c | 540.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 459.04$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.56 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 62c | 373.88$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 25c | 372.18$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 72c | 336.41$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 51c | 335.08$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 62c | 281.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.97 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 74c | 281.43$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 266.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.55 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed Yes | 35c | 255.41$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.62 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 31c | 254.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 32c | 254.81$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.94 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 67c | 237.92$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.35 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 38c | 212.19$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.87 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…14a9backed Yes | 31c | 202.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 201.79$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 62c | 196.55$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.67 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 29c | 191.73$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 76c | 190.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 63c | 167$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc399…53abbacked Yes | 8c | 164.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9e…251fbacked Yes | 40c | 149.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +16.0wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…7307backed No | 65c | 146.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.24 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 18c | 142.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 68c | 140$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 69c | 136.67$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 35c | 133.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.6 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 58c | 131.88$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…2efebacked Yes | 71c | 131.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -7.3wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 68c | 128.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.49 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…2c6fbacked Yes | 40c | 123.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 55c | 114.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 52c | 109.59$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 107.31$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 23c | 105.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed Yes | 17c | 105.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…8b09backed Yes | 42c | 104.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 24c | 102.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 71c | 100.01$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc05…9a76backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Yes | 41c | 97.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 29c | 95.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 88.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 65c | 87.39$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked No | 75c | 85.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed Yes | 29c | 81.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed Yes | 21c | 70.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 68c | 69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x521f…80cdbacked No | 74c | 67.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 69c | 67.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 66.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…49a4backed Yes | 36c | 66.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 62c | 65.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Yes | 64c | 63.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.46 | 249 | 42.6%106 W · 143 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…eb5cbacked Yes | 44c | 62.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 79c | 62.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 73c | 61.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked No | 49c | 59.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 65c | 58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 58c | 57.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.17 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef0…6392backed Yes | 29c | 53.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 53.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 53.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…f2dabacked Yes | 41c | 51.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…735bbacked Yes | 30c | 51.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 61c | 50.01$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd338…9fd3backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…c418backed Yes | 63c | 49.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Yes | 51c | 49.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 69c | 47.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed Yes | 39c | 44.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…e902backed No | 80c | 44.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 49c | 43.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…0bd3backed Yes | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 445 | 36.6%163 W · 282 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b6…3b38backed No | 71c | 42.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 471 | 75.6%356 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 66c | 41.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 39c | 40.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x813f…26ecbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 809 | 62.1%502 W · 307 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 75c | 37.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…0484backed Yes | 31c | 35.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 161 | 29.2%47 W · 114 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 50c | 35.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 548 | 53.1%291 W · 257 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…bd37backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked Yes | 49c | 33.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed No | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked No | 74c | 32.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 435 | 59.8%260 W · 175 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 66c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 1,452 | 36.8%534 W · 918 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 73c | 31.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 8?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.