NHL · resolved market
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Avangard Omsk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe076a1cb3bba1c2b92b9956be71715d726fea9ba77063452b6f8bd8a9bc5ab2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avangard Omskof CSKA Moscow, Avangard Omsk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,412
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,412 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CSKA Moscow | 46c | 1,529$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.86 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 1,318$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b1…f737backed CSKA Moscow | 46c | 606$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.76 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 364$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.88 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Avangard Omsk | 56c | 284$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed CSKA Moscow | 46c | 265.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Avangard Omsk | 56c | 160$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avangard Omsk | 52c | 147$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed CSKA Moscow | 46c | 129.8$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fc…bcdfbacked Avangard Omsk | 52c | 105.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…31edbacked CSKA Moscow | 46c | 86.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Avangard Omsk | 56c | 74.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 64.94$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Avangard Omsk | 57c | 61.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.3 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked CSKA Moscow | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 47.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Avangard Omsk | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked CSKA Moscow | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…c044backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 36.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Avangard Omsk | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed CSKA Moscow | 44c | 30.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Avangard Omsk | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…1d5bbacked CSKA Moscow | 48c | 23.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…98e4backed Avangard Omsk | 54c | 20.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.