Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31f1f175197dfa8d1aae5346b3dfb3ceba5cdc4a9c468d9aa4f8a5b705b7115a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,683$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +13.0wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +72%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 1,273$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 30c | 747.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.91 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 555.1$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.31 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 78c | 500.55$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.53 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 35c | 420.55$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes | 9c | 206$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 67c | 201$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.33 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 64c | 166.48$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.93 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…c50abacked Yes | 36c | 116.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 14c | 104.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 93.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed No | 65c | 66.93$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…2db2backed No | 65c | 51.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 65c | 46.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 208 | 45.7%95 W · 113 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 65c | 46.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 35c | 37.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 35c | 37.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will 1. FC Nürnberg vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?No won
- Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.