Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3607e3f7f7e9c4081c8d631d40c419617b6a34ac605b1bb106c4468c196238a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.94 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 1,911$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.91 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 26c | 1,838$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.8 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 72c | 1,067$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.66 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 932.97$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.57 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 833.54$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.91 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 64c | 796.23$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 627.39$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.84 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 74c | 561.67$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.03 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 26c | 511.25$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 74c | 493.18$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.23 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 28cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 364$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.64 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 30c | 300$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes | 26c | 296.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 33c | 262.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.36 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 25c | 191.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7206…0dcbbacked Yes | 26c | 187.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 68c | 180.78$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 18c | 163.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 74c | 161.34$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 151$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.26 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 74c | 149.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 26c | 143.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 26c | 135.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 125.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 65c | 112.96$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 19c | 105.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 40c | 96.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574d…1227backed No | 75c | 83.95$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 71c | 81.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 25c | 79.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 74c | 78.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 69.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…8027backed Yes | 37c | 58.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 37c | 58.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 56.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked No | 75c | 56.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…7750backed No | 75c | 54.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f3…8b96backed No | 75c | 53.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 38.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed No | 66c | 34.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked No | 75c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 25.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 75c | 24.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 75c | 23.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…9d28backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 76c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 62c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 89 | 69.7%62 W · 27 L | +13.3wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 73c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.