Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x115cf7a846f7844ef4758ad5c1da3993ee2c5c7d0057bf2a31ae5b63ff2f30e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 45c | 712.65$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.45 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 32c | 299.25$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 55c | 243.27$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.47 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 240.85$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 60c | 224.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 38c | 205.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 56c | 173.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 68c | 142.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 32c | 110.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Yes | 16c | 106.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 88.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.98 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 70c | 88.38$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 56.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 30c | 44.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 34c | 43.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 63c | 39.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 41c | 36.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 44c | 27.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 56c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Yes | 44c | 26.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 67c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 54c | 21.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will FC Volendam win on 2026-04-26?Yes won
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. FC Volendam end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.