Europa Conference League · resolved market
KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfde6f2590e314a96a01480af2801cd49beb7e33c96a8a07716122d4a255d0cb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 62c | 4,247$2,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 2,070$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.25 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 1,382$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.42 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Over | 46c | 1,096$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 45c | 643.64$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.64 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 55c | 631.13$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.59 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Under | 42c | 471.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.58 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 45c | 450$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -8.0wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 53c | 373.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.28 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 59c | 319.11$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 59c | 305.36$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 46c | 284$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 43c | 257.23$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.61 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 37c | 230.33$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.85 | 139 | 20.1%28 W · 111 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 200 | 56.5%113 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Under | 58c | 146.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 61c | 137.82$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Over | 40c | 113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…a896backed Under | 56c | 107.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 31c | 89.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.66 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 81.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 41c | 80.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 36c | 64.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…379dbacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 62.49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 351 | 58.1%204 W · 147 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 26c | 48.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 45c | 44.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6049…f047backed Over | 43c | 43.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 61c | 40.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…5cb5backed Under | 59c | 39.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 55c | 27.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 41c | 26.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -6.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…18e1backed Under | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeccd…d68abacked Under | 56c | 20.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Under | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…7e14backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF: O/U 3.5this page
- KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- KRC Genk vs. Malmö FF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.