Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1371d1bf48f0398088fa708abe831544d4eae3d32d404f6e4b0c899fad7d199
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 4,083$1,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.56 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed No | 0c | 2,402$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -93.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 30c | 1,609$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.34 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 55c | 1,591$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.91 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Yes | 55c | 1,591$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 2c | 1,559$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 14c | 1,249$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 7c | 1,125$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.43 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 3c | 683.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 45c | 383.02$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.13 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 369.59$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.47 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 80c | 290.54$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes | 54c | 209.37$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.31 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 55c | 178$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 43c | 153.4$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6d…bfc5backed Yes | 55c | 138.18$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc2…b834backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 24c | 78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 58c | 60.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 56c | 58.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c2e2backed Yes | 56c | 53.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 77c | 52.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 78c | 40.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…c94cbacked Yes | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…3b34backed Yes | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes | 53c | 36.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 36.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked No | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 56c | 22.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 46c | 22.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +66%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Odense BK vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?No won
- Will Odense BK win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.