CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfe39c1832f4d9c50abbfd2df8c1a28a388fe3d41f34b2e53bba9eeb5c7f5e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of Gentle Mates, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,344
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Gentle Mates | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked K27 | 50c | 990$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed K27 | 70c | 800.02$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.01 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked K27 | 68c | 777$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Gentle Mates | 32c | 757$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.24 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56da…449ebacked Gentle Mates | 30c | 309.3$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 308.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.58 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Gentle Mates | 39c | 253.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed K27 | 64c | 190$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked K27 | 55c | 115.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Gentle Mates | 55c | 98.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed K27 | 50c | 63.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed K27 | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d2…386fbacked Gentle Mates | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -48%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Gentle Mates | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed K27 | 72c | 48.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gentle Mates | 28c | 48.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed K27 | 56c | 39.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 34.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed K27 | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Gentle Mates | 45c | 25.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.