CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a76c719013b8643f5826b448f3d377eabe0f42031fda13b07eb0a1c17f662fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,324
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,324 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Over | 48c | 1,444$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.37 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a08…cce8backed Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 51c | 453.04$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.05 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 52c | 423$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 46c | 399.15$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.48 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 35c | 396$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.89 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 29c | 368.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 48c | 344.29$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.03 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0b…6583backed Under | 52c | 331.08$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 48c | 331.08$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.16 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…4ce4backed Under | 49c | 304.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 539 | 45.5%245 W · 294 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 51c | 209.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…3cc3backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 73c | 176.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 49c | 172.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.8 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Over | 52c | 93.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Over | 46c | 81.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 55c | 77.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 68c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 23c | 74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 67c | 72.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 66.66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Under | 50c | 40.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Over | 75c | 39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed Over | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 38.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 590 | 44.9%265 W · 325 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 WinnerGentle Mates won
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 WinnerK27 won
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.