CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd530a6b6cb04582e06640c3c59ff60e048494204e409f10a37d3b29a78a1fa34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof M80, Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Liquid | 74c | 2,003$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.87 | 267 | 43.1%115 W · 152 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked M80 | 26c | 1,222$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.68 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked M80 | 27c | 702.68$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.7 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed M80 | 26c | 375.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.45 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Liquid | 74c | 207.62$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Liquid | 72c | 174.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.74 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Liquid | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liquid | 74c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed M80 | 26c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed M80 | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed M80 | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed M80 | 26c | 59.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed M80 | 27c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Liquid | 74c | 51.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Liquid | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c36…e462backed M80 | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 236 | 56.4%133 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…2860backed M80 | 55c | 29.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 79 | 25.3%20 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed M80 | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed M80 | 74c | 23.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Liquid | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.