CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c16796d54f0dd3f1d8cfd8fc160eff36f6bd938491b4b3e9d389ee74fdfca53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of Liquid, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,088
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked M80 | 65c | 16,608$10,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,884.38 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Liquid | 50c | 9,302$4,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,636.81 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Liquid | 54c | 3,792$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.54 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed M80 | 50c | 3,630$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,814.99 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Liquid | 20c | 3,514$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.31 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked M80 | 57c | 3,143$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.96 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Liquid | 42c | 2,785$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.25 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Liquid | 21c | 1,829$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.4 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid | 22c | 1,810$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.39 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Liquid | 29c | 1,750$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Liquid | 39c | 1,687$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.02 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…2614backed M80 | 74c | 1,480$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.02 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked M80 | 74c | 1,046$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.51 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…d916backed Liquid | 39c | 984.07$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.16 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Liquid | 9c | 850$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Liquid | 39c | 792.58$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Liquid | 36c | 716$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Liquid | 38c | 655$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.87 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Liquid | 28c | 523.53$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.01 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed M80 | 49c | 505$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.05 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed Liquid | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 55c | 471.15$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.26 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid | 36c | 421.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed M80 | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee3…9d1ebacked Liquid | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed M80 | 50c | 380.77$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.08 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed M80 | 70c | 374.6$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Liquid | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…6300backed Liquid | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Liquid | 29c | 353$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.81 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed Liquid | 26c | 349.1$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.77 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed M80 | 75c | 299.24$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Liquid | 34c | 266.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Liquid | 32c | 254.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked M80 | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed M80 | 48c | 225.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c75…8a96backed Liquid | 53c | 214.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…dc4cbacked M80 | 59c | 206.67$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed M80 | 48c | 176.61$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed M80 | 78c | 175.45$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Liquid | 51c | 161.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae65…70debacked M80 | 49c | 161.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…40f4backed Liquid | 52c | 161.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.79 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Liquid | 44c | 152.47$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed M80 | 57c | 150.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.88 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed M80 | 58c | 146.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed M80 | 47c | 130$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.9 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Liquid | 30c | 129$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…e484backed M80 | 80c | 127.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 322 | 58.7%189 W · 133 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Liquid | 50c | 121.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Liquid | 39c | 120.05$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 70c | 105.01$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Liquid | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Liquid | 30c | 102$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked M80 | 74c | 101.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Liquid | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Liquid | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Liquid | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d4…2f1ebacked Liquid | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 291 | 56.7%165 W · 126 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…f276backed Liquid | 39c | 93.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Liquid | 29c | 84.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Liquid | 52c | 83.43$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Liquid | 29c | 80.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Liquid | 42c | 69.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Liquid | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked M80 | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked M80 | 50c | 63.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 538 | 59.3%319 W · 219 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc4…77cabacked Liquid | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed M80 | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Liquid | 50c | 58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Liquid | 44c | 58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed M80 | 60c | 56.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Liquid | 53c | 56.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 39c | 54.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…bf34backed Liquid | 40c | 52.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8aa…0ae3backed M80 | 63c | 52.06$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 313 | 72.8%228 W · 85 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Liquid | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 47.5%237 W · 262 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Liquid | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Liquid | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 225 | 56%126 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked M80 | 47c | 46.02$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 206 | 46.6%96 W · 110 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…df49backed Liquid | 37c | 44.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 70c | 42.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Liquid | 35c | 40.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed M80 | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…e5aabacked M80 | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f68…e91abacked Liquid | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed M80 | 66c | 39.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed M80 | 68c | 38.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed M80 | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed M80 | 74c | 36.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Liquid | 52c | 36.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked M80 | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed M80 | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a6…f22bbacked M80 | 73c | 34.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Liquid | 52c | 31.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed M80 | 50c | 30.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Liquid | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…909abacked M80 | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed M80 | 50c | 26.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…f591backed Liquid | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group BLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerLiquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.