CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06c029dbf6693e83042cc29ca5100bc6bbcaba81f1041821df40e4b70a1eea02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Aresof against All authority, G2 Ares
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed G2 Ares | 65c | 3,387$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.42 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked against All authority | 29c | 1,081$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.55 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked against All authority | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked against All authority | 35c | 820.46$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.6 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed G2 Ares | 67c | 349.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca3…be8ebacked against All authority | 33c | 349.55$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked against All authority | 32c | 343.35$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed against All authority | 39c | 169$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.16 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed against All authority | 36c | 159.68$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed against All authority | 27c | 98.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed G2 Ares | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked G2 Ares | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group BG2 Ares won
- Counter-Strike: against All authority vs G2 Ares - Map 2 WinnerG2 Ares won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.