CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeff7bc5f47fb2be6e0059f2bbae78180e7bd3d2e9bd023589ebb47430203aed7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof SPARTA, Nemiga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Nemiga | 43c | 1,500$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.99 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SPARTA | 75c | 1,231$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.65 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Nemiga | 39c | 1,000$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked SPARTA | 62c | 997.46$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.44 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Nemiga | 34c | 882.22$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.22 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Nemiga | 24c | 833.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.83 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed SPARTA | 57c | 798.38$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.58 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked SPARTA | 66c | 733.06$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.67 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Nemiga | 35c | 683.4$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.55 | 102 | 50%51 W · 51 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed SPARTA | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed Nemiga | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed SPARTA | 53c | 457.86$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.91 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nemiga | 25c | 410.21$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.91 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA | 57c | 338.35$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked SPARTA | 57c | 308$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 76c | 307.27$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.09 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Nemiga | 39c | 300$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Nemiga | 17c | 273.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.02 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked SPARTA | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Nemiga | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853a…c128backed SPARTA | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked SPARTA | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Nemiga | 45c | 215.94$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed SPARTA | 75c | 211.1$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.52 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Nemiga | 5c | 205$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.55 | 193 | 42.5%82 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed SPARTA | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Nemiga | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 70c | 166.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.05 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nemiga | 25c | 133.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.95 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked SPARTA | 62c | 120.7$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.9 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed SPARTA | 42c | 112.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga | 30c | 109.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed SPARTA | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed Nemiga | 31c | 96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.24 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nemiga | 47c | 93.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed SPARTA | 69c | 89.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Nemiga | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nemiga | 38c | 86.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Nemiga | 23c | 69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked SPARTA | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked SPARTA | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed SPARTA | 76c | 66.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Nemiga | 34c | 64.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked SPARTA | 78c | 64.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed SPARTA | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…e508backed Nemiga | 28c | 52.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed SPARTA | 79c | 50.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 67c | 49.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Nemiga | 51c | 44.87$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Nemiga | 49c | 40.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SPARTA | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SPARTA | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3a…aaa2backed SPARTA | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed SPARTA | 48c | 30.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked SPARTA | 64c | 29.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca0c…b9b6backed SPARTA | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f7cfbacked Nemiga | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 PlayoffsNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nemiga - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.