World Politics · resolved market
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x026dcea519a3b1e8d8722d3e3298d3d8d1ad98658aa17de6b584134e59988fed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $597,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $571,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $597,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30c9…8770backed Yes | 39c | 88,216$34,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,404.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…70ccbacked No | 61c | 88,216$53,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,404.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae29…d0c3backed Yes | 42c | 63,000$26,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,460 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…417fbacked No | 58c | 63,000$36,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,460 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 38c | 32,475$12,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,285.16 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Yes | 53c | 22,339$11,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,764.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 41c | 11,947$4,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,907.24 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 10,900$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…ff46backed Yes | 69c | 10,598$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,316.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 61c | 10,172$6,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,952.69 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 34c | 8,343$2,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,836.69 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 45c | 8,151$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707.12 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Yes | 42c | 6,490$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.67 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Yes | 41c | 6,424$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 58c | 6,000$3,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…f757backed No | 18c | 5,478$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.39 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked Yes | 42c | 3,464$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.81 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 3,331$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…04f4backed Yes | 70c | 3,062$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.81 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…de3dbacked No | 61c | 3,037$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,006$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked No | 17c | 2,903$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.75 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 43c | 2,790$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.9 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…e2febacked No | 58c | 2,503$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 41c | 2,455$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.05 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ba50backed Yes | 73c | 2,382$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,743.61 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…ca8dbacked Yes | 40c | 2,337$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.98 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 36c | 2,173$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.74 | 278 | 28.1%78 W · 200 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac11…41febacked Yes | 57c | 2,022$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 15c | 1,811$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.02 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +15.3wins | +0.21per pick | 15cpaid | +188.8%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 62c | 1,800$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.71 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…22a8backed Yes | 41c | 1,528$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.2 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 26cpaid | -81%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 55c | 1,444$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x978b…7e07backed No | 73c | 1,372$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 79c | 1,310$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.5 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…f57dbacked Yes | 42c | 1,290$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,280$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.94 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 39c | 1,169$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.97 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 24c | 1,124$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.86 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 41c | 1,116$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.68 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 1c | 1,024$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 41c | 1,024$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.97 | 66 | 22.7%15 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 41c | 1,001$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.41 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Yes | 39c | 879.55$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.02 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 39c | 874.45$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.48 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c594backed Yes | 50c | 811.94$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…8acebacked No | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 66c | 759.76$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588a…dca5backed Yes | 49c | 736.15$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…8cb0backed Yes | 36c | 675$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 40c | 673.42$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.37 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 43c | 657.9$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.9 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 55c | 650.53$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.96 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…436fbacked Yes | 79c | 631.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…4ee0backed Yes | 38c | 610$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.2 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 57c | 600.01$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 8c | 600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 38c | 586$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.68 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f88…7996backed Yes | 38c | 560$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 55c | 524.64$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.39 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…cd26backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…440ebacked Yes | 39c | 499.47$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 26c | 428.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.87 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe535…96d3backed Yes | 60c | 420.55$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.5 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 56c | 419.32$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.07 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.8 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +174.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 52c | 391$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 70c | 385.78$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.79 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a2…6a88backed Yes | 60c | 329$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 29c | 320$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.2 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…970bbacked No | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 51c | 294.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 55c | 290.68$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.81 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d5…debcbacked Yes | 44c | 269.83$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…ba2cbacked Yes | 43c | 255.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…c3ffbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 48c | 226.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.55 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +90%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3077…0f2fbacked Yes | 74c | 225.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…246ebacked Yes | 45c | 207.72$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8282…e6a3backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -11.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3272…8db0backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 33c | 198.87$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.03 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Yes | 40c | 183.5$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 180.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked No | 54c | 170$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e1b…3d5abacked No | 60c | 169.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 19c | 165.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.17 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 38c | 158.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf720…4599backed No | 70c | 158.16$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20a…d9a3backed Yes | 40c | 153.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1088…b813backed Yes | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…0c23backed Yes | 48c | 147.64$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?this page
- Will another party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Green Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?Yes won
- Will the New Democratic Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
- Will the People's Party win the most seats in British Columbia in the next Canadian Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.