TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Diamondbacks vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Diamondbacks, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,065
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,106

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,065 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc30c…e1b4backed Rangers53c28,487$15,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,041.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-70.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks46c14,006$6,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,562.991,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks49c5,915$2,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.662,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Rangers59c5,341$3,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,147.7348254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Rangers44c5,002$2,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,210.12142.9%9 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rangers51c4,146$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.836,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed Diamondbacks34c3,835$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,522.625454.3%138 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Diamondbacks32c2,727$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.4716552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rangers57c2,717$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.362,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Diamondbacks42c2,472$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.041,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Rangers70c2,210$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.0938751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Diamondbacks42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6e…d15bbacked Rangers57c1,800$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks51c1,759$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.9754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd652…fa8fbacked Diamondbacks43c1,700$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc6…f0f8backed Rangers59c1,695$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011051.8%57 W · 53 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks25c1,611$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.3295930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e8…fbe3backed Diamondbacks43c1,600$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$912450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64b2…aa49backed Rangers57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f0b…2305backed Diamondbacks46c1,401$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.38042.5%34 W · 46 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks46c1,261$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.2618837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks37c1,200$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75641747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Diamondbacks43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68416349.1%80 W · 83 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+22.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Rangers58c1,121$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65013553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cd…f03bbacked Rangers57c1,053$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Rangers58c1,029$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.775940.7%24 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks49c1,013$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.3238444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Diamondbacks43c887.99$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.155850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Diamondbacks41c824$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.1650843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f6…1e55backed Diamondbacks37c799.99$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.991533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37be…c646backed Rangers63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006450%32 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Diamondbacks41c782$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.3824547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks27c750$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.530850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rangers57c665.53$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3570946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Diamondbacks47c663.33$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5643946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks40c604$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.741,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks61c585.07$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9680680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Diamondbacks43c583.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.465248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Diamondbacks41c523$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.5744443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks36c517.9$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.91,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80b1…f64abacked Diamondbacks26c515.38$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.384050%20 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x095a…2400backed Diamondbacks41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2951233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Diamondbacks43c470$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.6926650.8%135 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rangers58c438.2$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6716135.4%57 W · 104 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67fd…2b74backed Rangers57c437.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016651.8%86 W · 80 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks41c436.61$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.651347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Rangers59c423.73$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Rangers65c411.3$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.3554048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcab0…4cd3backed Diamondbacks51c400$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.829447.9%45 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+24.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Diamondbacks43c399.66$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.8143247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Rangers63c398.89$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9825551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Diamondbacks43c380$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.9117946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ab…fbb5backed Diamondbacks42c371.43$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4316654.8%91 W · 75 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Diamondbacks42c360$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0667…42e1backed Diamondbacks48c339.15$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3813145.8%60 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Diamondbacks32c315.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.621,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6082…6ce2backed Diamondbacks43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17118148.6%88 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Diamondbacks43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Diamondbacks43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9983248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks43c299.98$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.993,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Rangers56c299.96$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.981,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Diamondbacks43c280.34$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.7922142.1%93 W · 128 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Rangers72c278.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018155.8%101 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks53c272.09$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8580955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Diamondbacks41c264$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.761,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab5…2c4dbacked Diamondbacks43c240$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Diamondbacks43c234$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3840548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Diamondbacks43c225.78$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.031,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6579…088bbacked Rangers57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rangers74c209.68$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.581,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Diamondbacks43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Diamondbacks31c197$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2532754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Diamondbacks29c194.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.910527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Rangers57c180.7$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10399951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Diamondbacks27c173$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1334164.2%219 W · 122 L+22.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Diamondbacks51c166$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.911,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rangers53c164.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a34…56cfbacked Diamondbacks44c160$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.628053.9%151 W · 129 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rangers59c157$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2445749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…6bf3backed Diamondbacks50c155$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70c2…5b6bbacked Rangers50c155$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.51050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Diamondbacks43c150$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.566751.9%346 W · 321 L+30.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Rangers53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.517243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4354…571fbacked Rangers57c140.35$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8013456.7%76 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Rangers14c120$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.296133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Rangers61c119.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Diamondbacks43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.288848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64de…25a1backed Diamondbacks32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Rangers57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5792754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Diamondbacks41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5918249.5%90 W · 92 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Diamondbacks44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9149348.3%238 W · 255 L+15.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282f…ac8dbacked Diamondbacks43c88.37$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3726845.5%122 W · 146 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Rangers57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025551%130 W · 125 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Rangers59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks38c80.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.924,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Rangers56c71.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.225,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Rangers42c70.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.