NFL · resolved market
Joe Burrow and Olivia Holzmacher break up this season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47400c4823fe9e0cbf388bfa7c4f26b2146b7b21fa7407303b9d4f8af362f165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 0c | 10,958$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Yes | 29c | 3,820$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.39 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…2143backed No | 72c | 2,755$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.0wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 56c | 2,023$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.62 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed No | 67c | 1,543$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…8ed7backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…7f0dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d19…1c4ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1d…2840backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…94f8backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…fbe4backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d2…ae86backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…1331backed Yes | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc48c…5fc3backed Yes | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…34d2backed Yes | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83f…58fcbacked Yes | 40c | 1,300$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…0490backed No | 52c | 1,079$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67d8…1722backed No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…1838backed Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396d…fd0abacked Yes | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c2…c8cebacked No | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946c…2cbcbacked Yes | 48c | 985$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc79…33dbbacked Yes | 48c | 985$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…43debacked No | 52c | 985$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec43…2471backed No | 52c | 985$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…39ffbacked Yes | 42c | 950$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6a…e1fbbacked No | 49c | 950$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…7e38backed Yes | 51c | 950$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2773…66c9backed No | 49c | 950$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…12ddbacked Yes | 42c | 950$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff84…e50dbacked No | 58c | 950$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…0e1ebacked No | 58c | 950$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c3…f870backed Yes | 51c | 950$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…5dd7backed No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…efd3backed No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…c3b6backed No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…351fbacked No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…5b68backed No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1d04backed No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f39…dabcbacked No | 60c | 800$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…d8b5backed No | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…025abacked No | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374d…3ac3backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…0beebacked No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee8…b37abacked No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfad…5b15backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…37bebacked No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…b224backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…d1dabacked No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x493b…0510backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…1244backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked No | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x058b…15c8backed No | 60c | 650$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42f9…383cbacked No | 60c | 650$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6b…ac1fbacked No | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6693…56f0backed No | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…559cbacked Yes | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 69c | 567.83$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 52c | 403.91$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Yes | 53c | 383.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Yes | 41c | 374$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.54 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 61c | 329.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.42 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…abc3backed Yes | 42c | 260$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked No | 23c | 251.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +294.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2a…97aabacked No | 52c | 225.44$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…5b2cbacked Yes | 33c | 196.21$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 37c | 189.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.2 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed No | 60c | 162$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 44c | 152.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Yes | 51c | 141.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.8 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 60c | 139.58$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 42c | 135.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed No | 47c | 133.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 57c | 130.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…1fd0backed Yes | 46c | 125$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 77c | 120$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -9.6wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 39c | 110.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 150 | 8%12 W · 138 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f81…0caabacked Yes | 41c | 108.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Yes | 73c | 103.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…089cbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…77c7backed Yes | 32c | 96.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…693fbacked No | 27c | 95.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 26c | 91.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked No | 57c | 87.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 46c | 86.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…af1dbacked No | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa7…2d06backed Yes | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 45c | 66.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…b38dbacked No | 27c | 55.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Yes | 24c | 55.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 71c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 37c | 54.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a706backed Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4971…7488backed Yes | 54c | 42.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c7…1f49backed No | 55c | 36.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 33c | 36.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 42c | 35.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.