TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Acesof Liberty, Aces
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,199

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee00…cea1backed Aces64c5,347$3,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,914.733351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Liberty42c2,744$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.6217541.1%72 W · 103 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe29…63e5backed Liberty42c2,744$1,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152.62955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Liberty42c2,070$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$863.06812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick40cpaid-80.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Aces58c1,775$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.861546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd057…ae9fbacked Liberty19c1,351$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Liberty44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x843e…e785backed Aces62c1,046$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe7a…3ef4backed Liberty43c1,043$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Aces45c1,033$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.251145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Liberty5c999.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-45.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Aces45c903.03$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.87757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Liberty40c871.83$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.731241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Liberty42c808.42$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.7912840.6%52 W · 76 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3834…658ebacked Liberty43c337.21$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7e…4562backed Aces57c325.97$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.17450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6056…7227backed Liberty42c246$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Liberty43c233$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1846…4727backed Liberty47c195.36$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3caf…efb8backed Aces59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xace8…07ffbacked Aces59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3533…efffbacked Liberty43c117.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50fb…5a34backed Aces61c117.23$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1d…a3dbbacked Liberty42c116.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2541…10bcbacked Aces60c114.55$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d2…b978backed Aces59c102.68$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8fd…f96cbacked Liberty43c88.37$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f0c…31f7backed Aces59c88.17$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44d…6432backed Liberty43c87.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc09…01b3backed Aces59c87.14$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.731100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeb2…e10fbacked Aces59c86.46$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ea…549fbacked Liberty43c86.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…7cd6backed Aces59c84.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24e…7aaebacked Liberty43c83.72$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Aces64c77.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.121145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe896…d1b7backed Aces58c73.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2317…d227backed Aces61c70.75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…fb2dbacked Liberty43c70.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Liberty29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2303…f3a2backed Liberty43c69.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33d2…e75bbacked Aces61c68.85$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Liberty40c65.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.372524%6 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99cc…266dbacked Aces60c65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb80b…0d19backed Liberty43c64.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde7b…41fcbacked Aces61c58.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf47e…e5eebacked Liberty42c58.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e53…89f6backed Aces44c57.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.39333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f94…a89cbacked Liberty42c56.65$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb99…1165backed Aces60c56.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Liberty44c55.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.651471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a72…1608backed Liberty43c55.7$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d6…d30bbacked Aces58c55.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ee8…b5f5backed Aces60c55$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba1…27fdbacked Liberty42c54.76$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe43…d411backed Liberty43c54.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5839…0201backed Aces61c54.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa282…af74backed Liberty42c53.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1715…1179backed Aces60c53.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6907…fd7ebacked Liberty41c53.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8538…88b3backed Liberty43c52.72$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc80…5df5backed Aces59c52.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87f5…a4eebacked Liberty43c52.4$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa946…049dbacked Aces60c52.17$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x035f…edfdbacked Aces61c52.04$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8f…f77dbacked Liberty42c48.31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc164…ff9ebacked Aces60c47.83$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f9…fcd3backed Liberty43c47.72$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…a3c5backed Aces60c47.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb84b…1eb5backed Liberty42c47.21$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc76…e19fbacked Liberty43c47.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e83…e70bbacked Liberty43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdad5…839dbacked Liberty43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae2…f962backed Aces59c46.36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd005…5ea9backed Aces60c46$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80fd…1216backed Aces59c45.98$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…da4bbacked Liberty43c45.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3395…6803backed Liberty42c45.77$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a6…eecebacked Aces59c45.76$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4ea…725fbacked Liberty42c45.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd94f…5bc7backed Aces60c45.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3f84backed Aces53c45.36$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.32250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1f43…937cbacked Liberty42c45.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3660…761fbacked Liberty42c45.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8831…e807backed Liberty43c45.09$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5069…940cbacked Aces59c45.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7856…bb26backed Aces60c45.02$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b09…250cbacked Aces60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eee…cf0dbacked Aces60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de2…67dcbacked Aces60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8581…a0f3backed Liberty43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0686…9b29backed Liberty42c44.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccd…ffb9backed Liberty42c44.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4462…23d7backed Liberty42c44.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8955…4bb5backed Aces60c44.4$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a55…595cbacked Aces60c44.27$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed0…f0b8backed Aces60c44.13$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.652100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0447…000ebacked Liberty42c43.49$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…bd4abacked Aces60c43.22$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.292100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x683b…14d4backed Aces59c43.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x138c…e0ffbacked Aces60c43.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.