TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Kansas Jayhawks vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas Jayhawksof Kansas Jayhawks, North Carolina State Wolfpack
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,222 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c81…fce3backed Kansas Jayhawks60c6,423$3,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.532277.3%17 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas Jayhawks45c6,039$2,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,322.942,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina State Wolfpack33c5,227$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,743.572,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Kansas Jayhawks55c4,548$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.732864.3%18 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack54c4,317$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,347.612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc97…58a6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack50c3,911$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x61a5…40dabacked Kansas Jayhawks51c2,539$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kansas Jayhawks63c2,266$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.241,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed North Carolina State Wolfpack30c2,265$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.651,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2f…3794backed North Carolina State Wolfpack20c2,107$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick23cpaid-18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack49c1,500$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7357145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc29d…3352backed Kansas Jayhawks69c1,221$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.264372.1%31 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack59c1,200$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70814150.4%71 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kansas Jayhawks60c1,126$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack33c1,084$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.2810041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed North Carolina State Wolfpack28c990.84$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.4469142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina State Wolfpack40c893.62$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.823,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack53c799.99$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.994030%12 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c86…cd2bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack48c622.22$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…58c7backed Kansas Jayhawks46c621.04$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.711947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Kansas Jayhawks73c600$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.67467.6%50 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick71cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked North Carolina State Wolfpack35c586.1$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb4…48e3backed Kansas Jayhawks43c581.4$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-46.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed North Carolina State Wolfpack40c482.35$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.82,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed North Carolina State Wolfpack52c430.37$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.693,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Kansas Jayhawks78c426.39$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.429871.4%70 W · 28 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed North Carolina State Wolfpack31c394.9$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.373158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd8f6…15fbbacked Kansas Jayhawks51c392.35$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack41c385.06$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.842,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed North Carolina State Wolfpack37c384.02$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9213219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas Jayhawks44c373.62$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.231,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a0…d7cabacked North Carolina State Wolfpack51c359.75$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1823834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Kansas Jayhawks66c302.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6748462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ac…ef52backed Kansas Jayhawks44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Kansas Jayhawks44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16829444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed North Carolina State Wolfpack62c286.58$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9410757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed North Carolina State Wolfpack59c271$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.8965825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack41c254.59$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.389729.9%29 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack20c207$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.951154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked North Carolina State Wolfpack41c206.58$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.512532%8 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kansas Jayhawks41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11882048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Kansas Jayhawks43c200$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.819238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed North Carolina State Wolfpack40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8049746.5%231 W · 266 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…745ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed North Carolina State Wolfpack39c196.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.673549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Carolina State Wolfpack31c181.42$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.554,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed North Carolina State Wolfpack56c172.43$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.565543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed North Carolina State Wolfpack60c168.27$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.879151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Kansas Jayhawks65c150$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.612254.1%66 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed North Carolina State Wolfpack51c147.9$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758643%37 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd2f…ed67backed North Carolina State Wolfpack60c142$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas Jayhawks43c136.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.034,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed North Carolina State Wolfpack55c124.98$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.2512840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack51c110$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.15740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Kansas Jayhawks42c101.79$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.041,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Kansas Jayhawks60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e4…ddfdbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+134.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9925438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfab8…e432backed North Carolina State Wolfpack59c91.53$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f78…d7c1backed Kansas Jayhawks50c79.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.672030%6 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kansas Jayhawks51c74.51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.235,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x486e…62c7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack48c72.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina State Wolfpack39c66.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.585,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3d1…f279backed North Carolina State Wolfpack50c64.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa155…e4e4backed Kansas Jayhawks43c61.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf2…24d7backed Kansas Jayhawks49c57.91$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.313429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed Kansas Jayhawks44c53.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.267245.8%33 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Kansas Jayhawks44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6283…e5c0backed Kansas Jayhawks40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7a…414fbacked Kansas Jayhawks41c49$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.911618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.7wins-0.29per pick48cpaid-57%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2604…63cfbacked Kansas Jayhawks41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Kansas Jayhawks42c47$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.261,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed North Carolina State Wolfpack40c45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9744955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3888…0755backed North Carolina State Wolfpack49c40.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed North Carolina State Wolfpack33c36.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.176538.5%25 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Kansas Jayhawks52c35.12$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.86650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed North Carolina State Wolfpack62c29.71$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.424961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Kansas Jayhawks43c29.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.761,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x875e…e6b5backed North Carolina State Wolfpack47c28.58$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed North Carolina State Wolfpack46c28.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1315246.7%71 W · 81 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Kansas Jayhawks54c27.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.983925.6%10 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-50%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack54c21.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3413840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd58b…0c63backed Kansas Jayhawks69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick73cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b90…c1afbacked Kansas Jayhawks69c15.86$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.