MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b2e2bbae363ec410246cfc6906e9ae4c629082c8147f335fbcc8bf33818c12e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Orioles, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,644
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Orioles | 37c | 178,839$66,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,944.58 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 63c | 54,600$34,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,202 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 62c | 40,000$24,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,200 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 62c | 31,793$19,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,925.51 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Phillies | 62c | 20,000$12,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,600 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Phillies | 57c | 15,558$8,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,752.64 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 62c | 10,496$6,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.54 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…471bbacked Orioles | 35c | 7,144$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 33c | 6,634$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.24 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Phillies | 66c | 6,127$4,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,066.96 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Orioles | 0c | 5,372$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 40c | 5,234$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.28 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Phillies | 65c | 5,076$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.58 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Orioles | 35c | 5,055$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.24 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb70…bc98backed Phillies | 65c | 4,614$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Phillies | 63c | 4,400$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Phillies | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Phillies | 65c | 3,412$2,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.2 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…0bcfbacked Phillies | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Phillies | 65c | 3,020$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.04 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d9…79b8backed Orioles | 35c | 2,856$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Phillies | 62c | 2,834$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.92 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Orioles | 41c | 2,494$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.33 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 36c | 2,413$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.85 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 36c | 2,368$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d96…ff58backed Phillies | 65c | 2,307$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…a693backed Phillies | 63c | 2,300$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…3becbacked Orioles | 37c | 2,200$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…de6bbacked Orioles | 37c | 2,100$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f75…f4a3backed Phillies | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Orioles | 39c | 1,798$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e57…5ec6backed Phillies | 63c | 1,730$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,635$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.77 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4356…181dbacked Orioles | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…1f78backed Orioles | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd1…4e2bbacked Orioles | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…c3b4backed Orioles | 37c | 1,360$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…d50bbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,300$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 49cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…05aebacked Phillies | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f2…f52cbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,238$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ee…3b13backed Phillies | 63c | 1,214$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4804…a3bcbacked Phillies | 63c | 1,200$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…0e7fbacked Phillies | 65c | 1,154$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Orioles | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 65c | 1,100$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 35c | 1,100$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…4c6bbacked Orioles | 37c | 1,092$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Phillies | 65c | 1,084$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 63c | 1,024$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.56 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…3d34backed Orioles | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Orioles | 3c | 911.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…170bbacked Orioles | 35c | 800$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.06 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 35c | 750$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Orioles | 35c | 699.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Phillies | 65c | 696.32$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.68 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Phillies | 65c | 601.76$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.76 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 34c | 585.52$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.08 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…7656backed Phillies | 69c | 581.56$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 65c | 521.22$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.43 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b68…72c7backed Orioles | 37c | 515$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Phillies | 59c | 485.41$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Orioles | 34c | 467.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.88 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e5…c66cbacked Phillies | 63c | 467$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Orioles | 24c | 466.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…85ecbacked Phillies | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Phillies | 65c | 457.86$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.25 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d3…20e3backed Phillies | 63c | 453$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…450ebacked Orioles | 37c | 405$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Orioles | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 35c | 399.98$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Orioles | 35c | 363.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.4 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 36c | 361$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…345dbacked Phillies | 62c | 308.85$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Orioles | 34c | 285.76$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Orioles | 36c | 284.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.58 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Orioles | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d09…2445backed Orioles | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Orioles | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Phillies | 65c | 271.24$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.35 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 65c | 269.64$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.64 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc52…a021backed Orioles | 35c | 269.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.29 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 57c | 257.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 37c | 255.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 64c | 233.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Orioles | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 66c | 229.09$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Phillies | 61c | 229$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.78 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Orioles | 45c | 223.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.16 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…8d34backed Orioles | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a5…6751backed Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ad…afb5backed Orioles | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…5b02backed Orioles | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +8.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5936…4c34backed Phillies | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec0…8ee3backed Orioles | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…9969backed Orioles | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…d95cbacked Phillies | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6204…cc30backed Orioles | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…af2cbacked Orioles | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.