Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Cory Booker break the record for the longest filibuster?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea74137186ac6431f7b3b36faa47b05dd75ad245b0793b3b86bf2e4de85043a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 1c | 4,215$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +1,501.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed No | 6c | 1,348$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 1c | 1,222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 5c | 998.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed No | 1c | 974.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 33c | 952.28$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 68c | 400$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22d…ea45backed No | 46c | 341.93$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 21c | 329.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 78c | 287.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 78c | 263.25$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 59c | 237.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.28 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…14e2backed Yes | 56c | 214.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 27c | 194$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.43 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0e…5aacbacked No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…c40fbacked No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…3797backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d7…31bfbacked Yes | 57c | 81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7576…f961backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 28c | 64.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked No | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…677cbacked Yes | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…92c6backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 74c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d64…f485backed No | 44c | 51.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…7e95backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 38c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 66c | 41.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed No | 65c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…30c9backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 77c | 19.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.