WNBA · resolved market
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa557dc703e8d1dc6ff8f9b8f9d5b354cf671e080121ecf2aea69f6a7c21025d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Libertyof Liberty, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Liberty | 64c | 377.44$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Aces | 36c | 332.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.87 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Aces | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Aces | 38c | 264.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Aces | 37c | 222$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a45…df65backed Liberty | 63c | 217$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Liberty | 64c | 200$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…68e6backed Liberty | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Aces | 35c | 103.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Aces | 36c | 87.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Liberty | 63c | 51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Liberty | 65c | 38.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c06…6630backed Liberty | 64c | 34.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…e195backed Liberty | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.