NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46b920df3e5f100a0fcd74d6b01d2ed2ff07bb4133735370d0e040287efdba0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $250,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $250,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 498 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 30c | 41,021$12,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,343.99 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Kings | 71c | 36,282$25,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,634.96 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Pelicans | 32c | 23,261$7,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,420.58 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Kings | 66c | 14,357$9,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,915.1 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Kings | 67c | 7,578$5,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.89 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Pelicans | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.88 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked Pelicans | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans | 34c | 3,905$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.08 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Pelicans | 33c | 3,815$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.14 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 34c | 2,396$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.14 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Pelicans | 30c | 2,167$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 296 | 52.7%156 W · 140 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings | 66c | 2,134$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Pelicans | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…eb4fbacked Kings | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 31c | 1,936$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.16 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans | 31c | 1,776$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.97 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans | 33c | 1,628$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.24 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf31…d3d1backed Kings | 64c | 1,595$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98e…40a5backed Pelicans | 35c | 1,590$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kings | 67c | 1,502$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.55 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Kings | 66c | 1,361$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.85 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Pelicans | 33c | 1,237$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.46 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Kings | 71c | 1,108$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.71 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans | 34c | 1,058$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.64 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Kings | 64c | 999.98$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Kings | 68c | 940.8$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.82 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Pelicans | 18c | 940.68$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings | 65c | 878.42$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pelicans | 1c | 838.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Kings | 79c | 831.25$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.1 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Kings | 68c | 799.83$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.83 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Pelicans | 35c | 762.94$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.03 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb1…4253backed Pelicans | 31c | 724.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Kings | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.64 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Pelicans | 2c | 644.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Kings | 69c | 630.73$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.55 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 35c | 600$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans | 32c | 584$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pelicans | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Kings | 65c | 502.85$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…de7abacked Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…1305backed Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb80…69dabacked Kings | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee2…251bbacked Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf486…e6dfbacked Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…611fbacked Pelicans | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc316…59a4backed Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…4c4bbacked Pelicans | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…d2a5backed Kings | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.09 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +63%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3af…357fbacked Kings | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…eb45backed Pelicans | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe487…6754backed Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3136…1a1dbacked Pelicans | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc115…7cabbacked Pelicans | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccda…f346backed Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…1ebabacked Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…3806backed Pelicans | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…748cbacked Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…e734backed Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…22a7backed Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…1054backed Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…a619backed Kings | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…12dabacked Kings | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0412…4c08backed Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…7242backed Pelicans | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5934…d2e7backed Kings | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…6662backed Kings | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…4b11backed Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e52…98d0backed Pelicans | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…bfcfbacked Kings | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…8328backed Pelicans | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…886fbacked Pelicans | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…2d83backed Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…408cbacked Kings | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4b…1be8backed Kings | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d55…2ac3backed Pelicans | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cd…08b2backed Pelicans | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…a260backed Kings | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddd1…13d5backed Kings | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2047…3273backed Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf140…e4bdbacked Kings | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x214f…7bc4backed Kings | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0b…1541backed Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…eab3backed Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…adefbacked Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc9…4358backed Pelicans | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a6…56eabacked Pelicans | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…61cdbacked Pelicans | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a60…6ddabacked Kings | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…a79dbacked Pelicans | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2631…3c27backed Kings | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…d94abacked Pelicans | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6637…3ad7backed Pelicans | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a3…0aaabacked Kings | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e9…133cbacked Pelicans | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…766bbacked Pelicans | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…e1adbacked Kings | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…022cbacked Kings | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.