MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe083f02dd3bc6df4af3d2008d831c6c6b3bd5f94d4ac45cb494a872332388c15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Pirates | 42c | 21,728$9,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,098.93 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pirates | 16c | 11,343$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pirates | 0c | 10,884$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Astros | 74c | 8,907$6,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,334.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros | 58c | 8,517$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,616.59 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Pirates | 46c | 6,666$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.91 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Astros | 60c | 6,255$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.15 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Pirates | 3c | 6,084$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.41 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Pirates | 0c | 5,594$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Astros | 43c | 4,821$2,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.98 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Pirates | 1c | 4,408$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Pirates | 40c | 4,128$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.51 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pirates | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 57c | 3,000$1,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.99 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Astros | 75c | 2,446$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.04 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 63c | 2,377$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.75 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Astros | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.98 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 55c | 1,631$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.49 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 58c | 1,626$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.11 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 58c | 1,471$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.84 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,232$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Astros | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Pirates | 2c | 1,211$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Astros | 57c | 1,190$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.31 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Astros | 57c | 1,159$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.37 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3687…a0a6backed Pirates | 10c | 1,082$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 58c | 1,019$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.31 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Pirates | 23c | 1,002$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.95 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Astros | 58c | 913$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.46 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Astros | 45c | 877.24$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.3 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Astros | 57c | 875.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.86 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…d29ebacked Astros | 57c | 871.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.52 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 59c | 854.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.26 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Pirates | 43c | 800.6$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.26 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Pirates | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astros | 58c | 768.22$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.72 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 41c | 767.96$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 46c | 703.5$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.59 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 57c | 700$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Astros | 58c | 600$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 57c | 599.99$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…8590backed Astros | 57c | 585.85$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.91 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Astros | 57c | 562.5$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.88 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…7554backed Astros | 57c | 534.33$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.33 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pirates | 42c | 516.84$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.07 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Astros | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Astros | 57c | 485.72$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.86 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Astros | 57c | 481.16$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.01 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pirates | 43c | 465.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.37 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pirates | 22c | 463.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Pirates | 5c | 461.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Pirates | 30c | 461.48$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Astros | 57c | 456.14$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.14 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Pirates | 40c | 411.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.69 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 13c | 398.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.76 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 57c | 380.28$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Astros | 76c | 361.6$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.26 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Pirates | 47c | 346.02$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 46c | 345.04$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.72 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Pirates | 44c | 318.18$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Astros | 61c | 300$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd62…87abbacked Pirates | 47c | 285.43$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.42 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Astros | 59c | 277.69$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Pirates | 44c | 240.91$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Astros | 58c | 197.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.1 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Astros | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Astros | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Astros | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Pirates | 41c | 172.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.56 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Astros | 56c | 169.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Pirates | 29c | 162.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa468…816ebacked Pirates | 41c | 121.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Pirates | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Astros | 45c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.5 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 60c | 106.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Astros | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Pirates | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6475…d22fbacked Pirates | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pirates | 14c | 98.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…d3b1backed Pirates | 36c | 94.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Astros | 56c | 91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Astros | 58c | 86.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…6ec0backed Astros | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Astros | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 58c | 82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Astros | 58c | 63.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Pirates | 43c | 60.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd3…06a8backed Astros | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Pirates | 44c | 53.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…66a7backed Astros | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…ffdfbacked Pirates | 44c | 51.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Pirates | 45c | 50.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Pirates | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Pirates | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Astros | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Astros | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.