UFC · resolved market

Smith vs. Mingyang

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd7576b9efe1cf2743e87562098170b0d19611261546120ace532e9459cf4452

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mingyangof Smith, Mingyang
Resolved: Apr 27, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $59,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $75,069

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,683 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbdd8…2ee5backed Smith	22c	5,045$1,108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,108.24	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Smith	24c	4,615$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.46	48	33.3%16 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Smith	29c	4,381$1,261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260.81	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Mingyang	78c	4,003$3,122 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$880.59	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Smith	29c	3,450$1,001 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000.5	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Mingyang	72c	3,111$2,231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.94	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mingyang	76c	2,677$2,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$642.36	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Smith	21c	2,623$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.46	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Mingyang	80c	2,512$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$512.44	58	70.7%41 W · 17 L	+6.8wins	+0.12per pick	59cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Smith	20c	2,500$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.07	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Mingyang	71c	2,168$1,539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$628.63	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Mingyang	75c	2,129$1,596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.51	115	40%46 W · 69 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Smith	24c	2,050$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Smith	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Smith	23c	2,000$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.99	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+9.1wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Mingyang	76c	2,000$1,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.36	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x982b…983cbacked Mingyang	80c	1,911$1,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.2	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Mingyang	77c	1,738$1,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392.08	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Mingyang	42c	1,327$552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$774.49	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Mingyang	77c	1,299$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.7	171	58.5%100 W · 71 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x659c…8dfcbacked Mingyang	77c	1,202$923 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.5	27	74.1%20 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	68cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mingyang	80c	1,000$796 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$204	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd16…0be8backed Smith	29c	1,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	68	51.5%35 W · 33 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Smith	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	101	2%2 W · 99 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Smith	23c	999.99$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Smith	27c	907.28$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.08	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Mingyang	76c	855.26$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.26	357	64.7%231 W · 126 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Mingyang	77c	775.67$596 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.67	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Mingyang	76c	740$562 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.6	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda44…2b09backed Smith	23c	665.99$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.18	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Mingyang	77c	649.35$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.35	299	48.8%146 W · 153 L	-9.8wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mingyang	80c	573$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.06	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ead…cf47backed Mingyang	76c	535.79$407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.59	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.28per pick	48cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Mingyang	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a54…c062backed Mingyang	76c	500$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	75cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Mingyang	78c	500$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.41	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9d…c74bbacked Mingyang	76c	419.26$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.62	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Smith	25c	397.88$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x172b…e2cdbacked Mingyang	80c	354.7$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.04	11	72.7%8 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	70cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc954…bdf5backed Mingyang	75c	311.56$234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.89	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe545…a68cbacked Smith	33c	302.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Mingyang	79c	300$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Mingyang	77c	273.57$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.03	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Mingyang	77c	254$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.42	90	62.2%56 W · 34 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2889…fc69backed Mingyang	78c	249.84$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.96	75	41.3%31 W · 44 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Smith	20c	221.66$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.33	141	29.8%42 W · 99 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-27%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7384…1ebdbacked Mingyang	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-68%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Smith	25c	200$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	85	35.3%30 W · 55 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad8c…8cc3backed Mingyang	71c	199.99$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	93	52.7%49 W · 44 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Smith	25c	192.95$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.72	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Mingyang	77c	191$147 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.93	73	43.8%32 W · 41 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a01…6397backed Mingyang	79c	189$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.8	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	-5.3wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Smith	24c	166.67$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd7…7575backed Smith	25c	160$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-5.3wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b9d…2461backed Mingyang	80c	156.25$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.25	25	56%14 W · 11 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Smith	21c	149.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Mingyang	77c	148.71$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.2	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca86…4002backed Mingyang	79c	135.29$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.41	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Smith	20c	133.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.36	339	48.1%163 W · 176 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9c5…29cfbacked Mingyang	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked Mingyang	80c	127.63$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.53	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f6f…1214backed Mingyang	80c	127.62$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1808…eadbbacked Mingyang	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Mingyang	71c	110$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2730…63eebacked Mingyang	78c	106.28$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.08	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x257e…6a0fbacked Smith	24c	104.19$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x211a…9613backed Mingyang	78c	102.57$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.57	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Mingyang	77c	100$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7c…6d3bbacked Smith	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	97	44.3%43 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Smith	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x929c…8cb6backed Mingyang	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	111	52.3%58 W · 53 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a2…93f0backed Mingyang	80c	100$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Smith	23c	92$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.14	194	18.6%36 W · 158 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Smith	20c	87.04$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.41	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Mingyang	71c	84.51$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.51	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+20%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Mingyang	71c	84.51$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.51	158	39.2%62 W · 96 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Mingyang	77c	77.92$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.92	160	58.8%94 W · 66 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Mingyang	38c	77.74$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.85	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-35%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1fa…ebd1backed Smith	26c	76.92$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Mingyang	78c	76.92$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.92	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed Mingyang	77c	71$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.33	12	50%6 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Mingyang	73c	68.49$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.49	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2771…05debacked Smith	30c	66.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b34…b5b5backed Mingyang	77c	64.94$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.94	45	60%27 W · 18 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Smith	24c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcde4…f179backed Mingyang	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f88…7996backed Smith	21c	50$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc191…488fbacked Mingyang	79c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.21per pick	79cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Mingyang	80c	43.93$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.93	79	60.8%48 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x920d…bb46backed Smith	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-48%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca8…1698backed Smith	26c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18ea…ae46backed Mingyang	77c	35.25$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.11	39	76.9%30 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	68cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Mingyang	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.75	44	45.5%20 W · 24 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b69…972bbacked Mingyang	80c	27.23$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.45	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.20per pick	80cpaid	+25%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34c8…4c9fbacked Mingyang	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0bd9…75b6backed Mingyang	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32dc…cac5backed Mingyang	77c	25.97$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.97	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a6e…1c12backed Mingyang	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-2.0wins	-0.22per pick	66cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76bc…009fbacked Mingyang	80c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Mingyang	70c	18.31$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.49	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Smith vs. Mingyangthis page
Aliskerov vs. MunizAliskerov won
Amorim vs. VianaAmorim won
Blackshear vs. AlatengheiliBlackshear won
Brown vs. DalbyBrown won
Chandler vs. EdwardsEdwards won
Chikadze vs. Onama Onama won
Machado Garry vs. PratesMachado Garry won
Pereira vs. MagomedovMagomedov won
Schnell vs. FlickSchnell won
Wellmaker vs. SaaimanWellmaker won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Smith vs. Mingyang

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event