UFC · resolved market
Chikadze vs. Onama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d25eb40cf755a378773411a61c2e42d000b2e46d4fd195f73a9b5506c522997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Onama of Chikadze, Onama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $339,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $358,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Chikadze | 36c | 64,513$23,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,200.28 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Onama | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,999.99 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…c416backed Chikadze | 38c | 38,322$14,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,562.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…d5c8backed Onama | 62c | 38,322$23,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,562.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Onama | 65c | 27,109$17,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,557.08 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…e10bbacked Chikadze | 38c | 26,345$10,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,011.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f97…555fbacked Onama | 62c | 26,345$16,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,011.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce0…5cb9backed Chikadze | 0c | 20,010$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Onama | 63c | 17,309$10,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,343.72 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Chikadze | 35c | 14,300$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,005 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Onama | 65c | 6,750$4,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.84 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Chikadze | 36c | 6,726$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.41 | 215 | 54.4%117 W · 98 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Onama | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f74…64f1backed Chikadze | 38c | 4,733$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.39 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Chikadze | 22c | 4,173$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.3 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…2246backed Chikadze | 35c | 3,220$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Chikadze | 16c | 3,113$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.55 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Chikadze | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…c0dfbacked Chikadze | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Chikadze | 27c | 2,755$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.71 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Chikadze | 33c | 2,700$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Chikadze | 36c | 2,207$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Chikadze | 16c | 2,026$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.75 | 235 | 37%87 W · 148 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Chikadze | 36c | 1,960$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Chikadze | 36c | 1,784$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.08 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Onama | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.92 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Onama | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Chikadze | 37c | 1,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Onama | 60c | 1,403$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.95 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Chikadze | 36c | 1,389$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Onama | 64c | 1,381$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.16 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Onama | 62c | 1,272$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb925…0f4abacked Chikadze | 35c | 1,246$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.94 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…cb01backed Chikadze | 36c | 1,161$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Onama | 65c | 1,097$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.54 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Chikadze | 39c | 1,079$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.81 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Onama | 62c | 1,044$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.83 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Chikadze | 50c | 1,003$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.41 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Chikadze | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Onama | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3043…2cbbbacked Chikadze | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1231…27e8backed Chikadze | 37c | 915$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…9cb4backed Onama | 63c | 790$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…b5b5backed Onama | 66c | 685.06$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.06 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Chikadze | 34c | 614.99$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Onama | 66c | 601.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.51 | 357 | 64.7%231 W · 126 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Onama | 68c | 588$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.24 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…c440backed Chikadze | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Chikadze | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Chikadze | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Chikadze | 33c | 500$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Onama | 61c | 497$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.85 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe151…d3c4backed Onama | 63c | 475$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…7a1dbacked Chikadze | 37c | 460$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…2d5fbacked Chikadze | 23c | 431.14$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Onama | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3027…cb68backed Chikadze | 38c | 392.87$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Onama | 61c | 391$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Chikadze | 33c | 304$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Chikadze | 34c | 300$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Chikadze | 42c | 300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…527ebacked Chikadze | 37c | 285$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…9104backed Chikadze | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…a047backed Chikadze | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Chikadze | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Chikadze | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9d63backed Onama | 63c | 245$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Chikadze | 29c | 235$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Chikadze | 40c | 228$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Onama | 61c | 225$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…01b6backed Chikadze | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed Onama | 68c | 208.97$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chikadze | 16c | 200$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacc3…de78backed Onama | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…22a2backed Onama | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…6d35backed Onama | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…6988backed Chikadze | 40c | 195$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Onama | 61c | 173.77$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36b…5cc8backed Onama | 63c | 165$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b31…1646backed Onama | 63c | 165$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6801…8b48backed Onama | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…a60abacked Onama | 65c | 152.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Onama | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Chikadze | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…b318backed Chikadze | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 51cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Onama | 60c | 149.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.24 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…ebd1backed Onama | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…1e40backed Chikadze | 38c | 146$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…3cf2backed Onama | 63c | 145$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3547…7064backed Onama | 63c | 145$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ff…5ec3backed Chikadze | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Chikadze | 24c | 128.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Onama | 60c | 127.5$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Onama | 65c | 123$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Onama | 63c | 122$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.78 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…ff38backed Onama | 64c | 118.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +99.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…05cebacked Chikadze | 37c | 115$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd3…9e40backed Chikadze | 22c | 111.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Chikadze | 14c | 104.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf725…136abacked Onama | 68c | 103.16$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chikadze vs. Onamathis page
- Aliskerov vs. MunizAliskerov won
- Amorim vs. VianaAmorim won
- Blackshear vs. AlatengheiliBlackshear won
- Brown vs. DalbyBrown won
- Chandler vs. EdwardsEdwards won
- Machado Garry vs. PratesMachado Garry won
- Pereira vs. MagomedovMagomedov won
- Schnell vs. FlickSchnell won
- Smith vs. Mingyang Mingyang won
- Wellmaker vs. SaaimanWellmaker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.