TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Chikadze vs. Onama

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Onama of Chikadze, Onama
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$339,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,426

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xafba…e61bbacked Chikadze36c64,513$23,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,200.2835253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Onama 64c50,000$32,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,999.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b2…c416backed Chikadze38c38,322$14,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,562.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…d5c8backed Onama 62c38,322$23,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,562.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Onama 65c27,109$17,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,557.0822259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72f7…e10bbacked Chikadze38c26,345$10,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,011.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f97…555fbacked Onama 62c26,345$16,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,011.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce0…5cb9backed Chikadze0c20,010$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Onama 63c17,309$10,966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,343.7214857.4%85 W · 63 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Chikadze35c14,300$5,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0053959%23 W · 16 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Onama 65c6,750$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.8410542.9%45 W · 60 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Chikadze36c6,726$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,428.4121554.4%117 W · 98 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Onama 67c5,000$3,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6501637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f74…64f1backed Chikadze38c4,733$1,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,798.39850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Chikadze22c4,173$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.311540%46 W · 69 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6f…2246backed Chikadze35c3,220$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Chikadze16c3,113$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.5518145.3%82 W · 99 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Chikadze35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005870.7%41 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04a7…c0dfbacked Chikadze36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd22…9ef1backed Chikadze27c2,755$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.714040%16 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Chikadze33c2,700$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8913857.9%22 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f65…1592backed Chikadze36c2,207$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.551330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Chikadze16c2,026$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7523537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x476a…76bdbacked Chikadze36c1,960$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Chikadze36c1,784$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.0835826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Onama 65c1,539$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.9216951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Onama 65c1,538$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.4617158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Chikadze37c1,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55025251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Onama 60c1,403$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.9514751%75 W · 72 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31b6…2d92backed Chikadze36c1,389$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009241.3%38 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Onama 64c1,381$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.1618560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Onama 62c1,272$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48711844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb925…0f4abacked Chikadze35c1,246$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.945335.8%19 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5bd…cb01backed Chikadze36c1,161$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.86825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Onama 65c1,097$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.5442042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Chikadze39c1,079$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.814740.4%19 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Onama 62c1,044$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.8329948.8%146 W · 153 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Chikadze50c1,003$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4137854.8%207 W · 171 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Chikadze1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101012%2 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Onama 67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33035539.4%140 W · 215 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3043…2cbbbacked Chikadze34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1231…27e8backed Chikadze37c915$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf557…9cb4backed Onama 63c790$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+33.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b34…b5b5backed Onama 66c685.06$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.064560%27 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Chikadze34c614.99$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.42965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Onama 66c601.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5135764.7%231 W · 126 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…6eebbacked Onama 68c588$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.243938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71e1…c440backed Chikadze36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Chikadze35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1758751.7%45 W · 42 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffe…6492backed Chikadze38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905646.4%26 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Chikadze33c500$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16436745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Onama 61c497$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8514355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe151…d3c4backed Onama 63c475$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567f…7a1dbacked Chikadze37c460$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x975b…2d5fbacked Chikadze23c431.14$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2214129.8%42 W · 99 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Onama 60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1605867.2%39 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3027…cb68backed Chikadze38c392.87$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Onama 61c391$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.236245.2%28 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b13…39d3backed Chikadze33c304$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.323455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+25.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Chikadze34c300$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Chikadze42c300$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.913041.5%54 W · 76 L-9.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9057…527ebacked Chikadze37c285$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b8…9104backed Chikadze37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fac…a047backed Chikadze37c270$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe545…a68cbacked Chikadze38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014130.5%43 W · 98 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed0…92debacked Chikadze39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012245.1%55 W · 67 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fab…9d63backed Onama 63c245$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Chikadze29c235$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.726552.1%138 W · 127 L+23.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Chikadze40c228$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.212159.5%72 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Onama 61c225$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.695642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ec…01b6backed Chikadze35c214.29$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca86…4002backed Onama 68c208.97$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.871464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Chikadze16c200$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6721031.9%67 W · 143 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacc3…de78backed Onama 63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9230…22a2backed Onama 63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+48.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80a5…6d35backed Onama 63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ffc…6988backed Chikadze40c195$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.258535.3%30 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Onama 61c173.77$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7756450.5%285 W · 279 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf36b…5cc8backed Onama 63c165$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.052100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b31…1646backed Onama 63c165$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6801…8b48backed Onama 63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…a60abacked Onama 65c152.31$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.311369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9cf8…7f09backed Onama 66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5214052.1%73 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Chikadze35c150$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.539959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…b318backed Chikadze38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Onama 60c149.98$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2433948.1%163 W · 176 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1fa…ebd1backed Onama 67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a6…1e40backed Chikadze38c146$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…3cf2backed Onama 63c145$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3547…7064backed Onama 63c145$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ff…5ec3backed Chikadze36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010040%40 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Chikadze24c128.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.346657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Onama 60c127.5$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5116247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…5c26backed Onama 65c123$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0510452.9%55 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Onama 63c122$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.789062.2%56 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf59…ff38backed Onama 64c118.44$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.64683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+99.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0705…05cebacked Chikadze37c115$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacd3…9e40backed Chikadze22c111.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Chikadze14c104.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6352252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked Onama 68c103.16$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.013754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.